Universitario vs Alianza Lima Prediction

Primera División · Sun 5 Apr 2026
Peru flag Peru : Primera División
UniversitarioLDWWW
1 - 0
Full time · HT 0 - 0
Alianza LimaWWLWD
Kick-offSun 5 Apr, 02:00
Our tip1 @ 2.22 ✓
GoalsUnder 2.5
Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✓
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSNo ✓
Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
UniversitarioLDWWW
01 Nov 26AAtletico Grau3 - 1Primera División
25 Oct 26HJuan Pablo II College3 - 0Primera División
18 Oct 26AAlianza Atletico4 - 1Primera División
11 Oct 26HFBC Melgar2 - 2Primera División
19 Sep 26ADeportivo Garcilaso0 - 4Primera División
Alianza LimaWWLWD
08 Nov 26AClub Deportivo Los Chankas1 - 1Primera División
04 Nov 26HCienciano1 - 0Primera División
29 Oct 26ASporting Cristal2 - 3Primera División
25 Oct 26AUCV Moquegua1 - 0Primera División
18 Oct 26HAtletico Grau3 - 1Primera División

Head to head

Universitario 11 · Draws 7 · Alianza Lima 10 (28 meetings, last 10 below)

13 Sep 26Alianza Lima1 - 2UniversitarioPrimera División
05 Apr 26Universitario1 - 0Alianza LimaPrimera División
24 Aug 25Universitario0 - 0Alianza LimaPrimera División
06 Apr 25Alianza Lima1 - 1UniversitarioPrimera División
27 Jul 24Universitario2 - 1Alianza LimaPrimera División
11 Feb 24Alianza Lima0 - 1UniversitarioPrimera División
09 Nov 23Alianza Lima0 - 2UniversitarioPrimera División
05 Nov 23Universitario1 - 1Alianza LimaPrimera División
23 Jul 23Alianza Lima0 - 0UniversitarioPrimera División
19 Feb 23Universitario1 - 2Alianza LimaPrimera División

Full head to head: Universitario vs Alianza Lima →

Our prediction

Universitario to win

@ 2.22
Double chance
12  •  Universitario or Alianza Lima
@ 1.30
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.70
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on Universitariolast 20 tipped matches
11/2055%
Our tips on Alianza Limalast 20 tipped matches
10/2050%
Our tips in Primera Divisiónlast 30 days
26/4558%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Confidence
80%
Over 2.5: 36%Under 2.5: 64%
Expected goals
0.92Universitario
2.13Total
1.21Alianza Lima

Possible correct scores

1 – 0 Universitario win 12% @ 5.25 Our pick ✓ Final score
1 – 1 Draw 12% @ 5.25
0 – 0 Draw 10% @ 6.50
0 – 1 Alianza Lima win 10% @ 6.50
2 – 1 Universitario win 9% @ 7.50

Final score: 1 – 0 – in our list ✓. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Universitario47%
Draw19%
Alianza Lima34%

Odds (1X2)

12.22
X3.05
23.40

Universitario vs Alianza Lima preview and result

Universitario and Alianza Lima met in the Primera División on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 02:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 1 - 0, 0 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Universitario a 47% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Alianza Lima 34%. Our pick was Universitario to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.22. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Universitario or Alianza Lima) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.30.

Goals: we expect about 2.1 goals (0.9 for Universitario, 1.2 for Alianza Lima). The chance of three or more goals is 36%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (80% confidence). 1 goal was scored.

Form and head to head

Universitario have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (L-D-W-W-W), scoring 12 and conceding 8. Alianza Lima have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (W-W-L-W-D), scoring 8 and conceding 5. In their last 10 meetings, Universitario won 11, Alianza Lima won 10 and 7 ended level.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Universitario vs Alianza Lima?

Our pre-match prediction is Universitario to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.22. Win chances: Universitario 47%, draw 19%, Alianza Lima 34%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Universitario vs Alianza Lima?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 80% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 36%).

What time is Universitario vs Alianza Lima?

Universitario vs Alianza Lima (Primera División) was played on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 02:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Universitario vs Alianza Lima?

The double chance 12 (Universitario or Alianza Lima) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.30. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.