Vasco DA Gama vs Fluminense Prediction

Carioca 1 · Sun 22 Feb 2026
Brazil flag Brazil : Carioca 1
Vasco DA GamaLWLLW
0 - 1
Full time · HT 0 - 1
FluminenseLWLWW
Kick-offSun 22 Feb, 22:00
Our tip2 @ 2.20 ✓
GoalsUnder 2.5
Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip2 ✓
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSNo ✓
Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Vasco DA GamaLWLLW
04 Nov 26AAtletico Paranaense3 - 1Serie A
01 Nov 26APalmeiras0 - 1Copa Do Brasil
29 Oct 26HFlamengo1 - 4Serie A
24 Oct 26HCorinthians3 - 2Serie A
21 Oct 26HBoca Juniors1 - 3CONMEBOL Sudamericana
FluminenseLWLWW
06 Nov 26AVitoria3 - 0Serie A
28 Oct 26HInternacional2 - 1Serie A
24 Oct 26AChapecoense-sc1 - 2Serie A
22 Oct 26APalmeiras1 - 0CONMEBOL Libertadores
18 Oct 26HSantos1 - 2Serie A

Head to head

Full head to head: Vasco DA Gama vs Fluminense →

Our prediction

Fluminense to win

@ 2.20
Double chance
12  •  Vasco DA Gama or Fluminense
@ 1.33
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.87
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on Vasco DA Gamalast 20 tipped matches
10/2050%
Our tips on Fluminenselast 20 tipped matches
7/2035%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 42%Under 2.5: 58%
Expected goals
0.97Vasco DA Gama
2.36Total
1.39Fluminense

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 12% @ 6.25
0 – 1 Fluminense win 10% @ 7.50 Our pick ✓ Final score
0 – 0 Draw 9% @ 8.50
1 – 2 Fluminense win 8% @ 9.00
1 – 0 Vasco DA Gama win 8% @ 9.25

Final score: 0 – 1 – in our list ✓. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Vasco DA Gama40%
Draw18%
Fluminense42%

Odds (1X2)

13.25
X3.20
22.20

Vasco DA Gama vs Fluminense preview and result

Vasco DA Gama and Fluminense met in the Carioca 1 on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 22:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 0 - 1, 0 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives Vasco DA Gama a 40% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Fluminense 42%. Our pick was Fluminense to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.20. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Vasco DA Gama or Fluminense) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.33.

Goals: we expect about 2.4 goals (1.0 for Vasco DA Gama, 1.4 for Fluminense). The chance of three or more goals is 42%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (75% confidence). 1 goal was scored.

Form and head to head

Vasco DA Gama have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-W-L-L-W), scoring 8 and conceding 11. Fluminense have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-W-L-W-W), scoring 8 and conceding 5.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Vasco DA Gama vs Fluminense?

Our pre-match prediction is Fluminense to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.20. Win chances: Vasco DA Gama 40%, draw 18%, Fluminense 42%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Vasco DA Gama vs Fluminense?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 42%).

What time is Vasco DA Gama vs Fluminense?

Vasco DA Gama vs Fluminense (Carioca 1) was played on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 22:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Vasco DA Gama vs Fluminense?

The double chance 12 (Vasco DA Gama or Fluminense) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.33. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.