Vasco DA Gama vs Independiente Medellin Prediction

CONMEBOL Sudamericana · Wed 29 Jul 2026
South America : CONMEBOL Sudamericana
Vasco DA GamaLWLLW
1 - 0
Full time · HT 0 - 0
Kick-offWed 29 Jul, 23:00
Our tip1 @ 1.63 ✓
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence70%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✓
Double chance1X ✓
BTTSNo ✓
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Vasco DA GamaLWLLW
04 Nov 26AAtletico Paranaense3 - 1Serie A
01 Nov 26APalmeiras0 - 1Copa Do Brasil
29 Oct 26HFlamengo1 - 4Serie A
24 Oct 26HCorinthians3 - 2Serie A
21 Oct 26HBoca Juniors1 - 3CONMEBOL Sudamericana
Independiente MedellinLLLWW
07 Nov 26AFortaleza FC3 - 0Primera A
01 Nov 26HAlianza Valledupar2 - 1Primera A
29 Oct 26AInternacional de Bogota1 - 3Primera A
25 Oct 26AAtletico Nacional1 - 2Primera A
18 Oct 26HOnce Caldas0 - 2Primera A

Head to head

Full head to head: Vasco DA Gama vs Independiente Medellin →

Our prediction

Vasco DA Gama to win

@ 1.63
Double chance
1X  •  Vasco DA Gama or Draw
@ 1.15
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.80
Confidence
70%

Our record

Our tips on Vasco DA Gamalast 20 tipped matches
10/2050%
Our tips on Independiente Medellinlast 20 tipped matches
11/2055%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
85%
Over 2.5: 58%Under 2.5: 42%
Expected goals
2.55Vasco DA Gama
3.00Total
0.45Independiente Medellin

Possible correct scores

1 – 0 Vasco DA Gama win 11% @ 5.75 ✓ Final score
1 – 1 Draw 10% @ 6.25
2 – 0 Vasco DA Gama win 10% @ 6.50
2 – 1 Vasco DA Gama win 10% @ 6.50
0 – 0 Draw 7% @ 9.00
3 – 0 Vasco DA Gama win 6% @ 10.00 Our pick

Final score: 1 – 0 – in our list ✓. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Vasco DA Gama64%
Draw24%
Independiente Medellin12%

Odds (1X2)

11.63
X3.75
25.25

Vasco DA Gama vs Independiente Medellin preview and result

Vasco DA Gama and Independiente Medellin met in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana on Wednesday 29 July 2026 at 23:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 1 - 0, 0 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Vasco DA Gama a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Independiente Medellin 12%. Our pick was Vasco DA Gama to win with 70% confidence at odds of 1.63. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 1X (Vasco DA Gama or Draw) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.15.

Goals: we expect about 3.0 goals (2.6 for Vasco DA Gama, 0.5 for Independiente Medellin). The chance of three or more goals is 58%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (85% confidence). 1 goal was scored.

Form and head to head

Vasco DA Gama have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-W-L-L-W), scoring 8 and conceding 11. Independiente Medellin have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-L-W-W), scoring 7 and conceding 8.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Vasco DA Gama vs Independiente Medellin?

Our pre-match prediction is Vasco DA Gama to win (70% confidence) at odds of 1.63. Win chances: Vasco DA Gama 64%, draw 24%, Independiente Medellin 12%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Vasco DA Gama vs Independiente Medellin?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 85% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 58%).

What time is Vasco DA Gama vs Independiente Medellin?

Vasco DA Gama vs Independiente Medellin (CONMEBOL Sudamericana) was played on Wednesday 29 July 2026 at 23:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Vasco DA Gama vs Independiente Medellin?

The double chance 1X (Vasco DA Gama or Draw) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.15. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.