Vasco DA Gama vs Sao Paulo Prediction

Serie A · Sat 18 Apr 2026
Brazil flag Brazil : Serie A
Vasco DA GamaLWLLW
22:30
⏳ Result pending · Sat 18 Apr
Sao PauloWWDLD
Kick-offSat 18 Apr, 22:30
Our tip1 @ 2.28
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Vasco DA GamaLWLLW
04 Nov 26AAtletico Paranaense3 - 1Serie A
01 Nov 26APalmeiras0 - 1Copa Do Brasil
29 Oct 26HFlamengo1 - 4Serie A
24 Oct 26HCorinthians3 - 2Serie A
21 Oct 26HBoca Juniors1 - 3CONMEBOL Sudamericana
Sao PauloWWDLD
05 Nov 26HCorinthians0 - 0Serie A
29 Oct 26ABahia2 - 3Serie A
24 Oct 26AMirassol1 - 1Serie A
18 Oct 26HVasco DA Gama1 - 0Serie A
11 Oct 26HVitoria2 - 1Serie A

Head to head

Full head to head: Vasco DA Gama vs Sao Paulo →

Our prediction

Vasco DA Gama to win

@ 2.28
Double chance
12  •  Vasco DA Gama or Sao Paulo
@ 1.28
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.83
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on Vasco DA Gamalast 20 tipped matches
10/2050%
Our tips on Sao Paulolast 20 tipped matches
10/2050%
Our tips in Serie Alast 30 days
25/4063%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 48%Under 2.5: 52%
Expected goals
1.61Vasco DA Gama
2.59Total
0.98Sao Paulo

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 12% @ 5.25
1 – 0 Vasco DA Gama win 11% @ 5.75
0 – 1 Sao Paulo win 9% @ 7.00
2 – 1 Vasco DA Gama win 9% @ 7.50
0 – 0 Draw 8% @ 8.00
3 – 0 Vasco DA Gama win 3% @ 19.00 Our pick

Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Vasco DA Gama45%
Draw18%
Sao Paulo37%

Odds (1X2)

12.28
X3.20
23.15

Vasco DA Gama vs Sao Paulo preview

Vasco DA Gama host Sao Paulo in the Serie A (Brazil) on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 22:30 Nigerian time. Here is our prediction, the odds, both teams' recent form and their head-to-head record.

Our model gives Vasco DA Gama a 45% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Sao Paulo 37%. That makes our pick Vasco DA Gama to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.28. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Vasco DA Gama or Sao Paulo) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.28.

Goals: we expect about 2.6 goals (1.6 for Vasco DA Gama, 1.0 for Sao Paulo). The chance of three or more goals is 48%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence).

Form and head to head

Vasco DA Gama have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-W-L-L-W), scoring 8 and conceding 11. Sao Paulo have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (W-W-D-L-D), scoring 6 and conceding 5. In the table, Vasco DA Gama are 13th with 41 points and Sao Paulo are 10th with 44 points.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Vasco DA Gama vs Sao Paulo?

Our prediction is Vasco DA Gama to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.28. Win chances: Vasco DA Gama 45%, draw 18%, Sao Paulo 37%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Vasco DA Gama vs Sao Paulo?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 48%).

What time is Vasco DA Gama vs Sao Paulo?

Vasco DA Gama vs Sao Paulo (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 22:30 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Vasco DA Gama vs Sao Paulo?

The double chance 12 (Vasco DA Gama or Sao Paulo) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.28. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Serie A table

Vasco DA Gama13th41 pts
Sao Paulo10th44 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Flamengo 342374 4276
2 Palmeiras 3421103 3973
3 Cruzeiro 3418610 760
4 Fluminense 341699 1357
5 Atletico Paranaense 3415910 854
6 Bahia 3414119 553
7 Atletico-MG 3414812 450
8 RB Bragantino 3413813 547
9 Santos 34121111 147
10 Sao Paulo 3412814 044
11 Botafogo 3411914 -742
12 Coritiba 3411914 -1142
13 Vasco DA Gama 3311814 -741
14 Mirassol 34101014 -940
15 Vitoria 3410816 -1638
16 Internacional 3491114 -438
17 Corinthians 3491015 -637
18 Gremio 3491015 -937
19 Remo 3461117 -2029
20 Chapecoense-sc 334920 -3521