Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia L.P. Prediction

Liga Profesional Argentina · Mon 11 May 2026

Argentina : Liga Profesional Argentina

Velez SarsfieldLWWDL

0 - 1

Full time · HT 0 - 1

Gimnasia L.P.DWWWW

Kick-offMon 11 May, 01:30

Our tip1 @ 1.83 ✗

GoalsUnder 2.5

Confidence70%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✗

Double chance12 ✓

BTTSNo ✓

Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away

Velez SarsfieldLWWDL

08 Nov 26AUnion Santa Fe0 - 2Liga Profesional Argentina

31 Oct 26HSan Lorenzo2 - 2Liga Profesional Argentina

26 Oct 26ACentral Cordoba de Santiago5 - 0Liga Profesional Argentina

17 Oct 26HGimnasia M.1 - 0Liga Profesional Argentina

12 Oct 26ALanus0 - 2Liga Profesional Argentina

Gimnasia L.P.DWWWW

05 Nov 26HBelgrano Cordoba2 - 1Liga Profesional Argentina

30 Oct 26AEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto2 - 1Liga Profesional Argentina

23 Oct 26HSarmiento Junin2 - 0Liga Profesional Argentina

15 Oct 26AHuracan2 - 1Liga Profesional Argentina

09 Oct 26HAtletico Tucuman1 - 1Liga Profesional Argentina

Head to head

Velez Sarsfield 5 · Draws 4 · Gimnasia L.P. 8 (17 meetings, last 10 below)

11 May 26Velez Sarsfield0 - 1Gimnasia L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina

10 Nov 25Gimnasia L.P.2 - 0Velez SarsfieldLiga Profesional Argentina

29 Apr 25Velez Sarsfield1 - 0Gimnasia L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina

13 May 24Gimnasia L.P.3 - 1Velez SarsfieldLiga Profesional Argentina

10 Feb 24Velez Sarsfield3 - 1Gimnasia L.P.Copa de la Liga Profesional

13 Sep 23Gimnasia L.P.2 - 1Velez SarsfieldCopa de la Liga Profesional

30 Jan 23Velez Sarsfield3 - 1Gimnasia L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina

14 Aug 22Velez Sarsfield1 - 1Gimnasia L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina

14 Sep 21Gimnasia L.P.0 - 0Velez SarsfieldLiga Profesional Argentina

08 May 21Gimnasia L.P.0 - 5Velez SarsfieldLiga Profesional Argentina

Full head to head: Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia L.P. →

Our prediction

Velez Sarsfield to win

@ 1.83

Double chance

12 • Velez Sarsfield or Gimnasia L.P.

@ 1.28

Both teams to score

No – at least one team fails to score

@ 1.67

Confidence

70%

Our record

Our tips on Velez Sarsfieldlast 20 tipped matches

9/2045%

Our tips on Gimnasia L.P.last 20 tipped matches

7/2035%

Our tips in Liga Profesional Argentinalast 30 days

30/5951%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5

Under 2.5

Confidence

80%

Over 2.5: 36%Under 2.5: 64%

Expected goals

1.07Velez Sarsfield

2.13Total

1.06Gimnasia L.P.

Possible correct scores

1 – 0 Velez Sarsfield win 14% @ 4.75 Our pick

1 – 1 Draw 12% @ 5.50

2 – 0 Velez Sarsfield win 10% @ 6.50

2 – 1 Velez Sarsfield win 9% @ 7.00

0 – 0 Draw 9% @ 7.00

Final score: 0 – 1 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Velez Sarsfield61%

Draw17%

Gimnasia L.P.22%

Odds (1X2)

11.83

X3.30

24.55

Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia L.P. preview and result

Velez Sarsfield and Gimnasia L.P. met in the Liga Profesional Argentina on Monday 11 May 2026 at 01:30 (Nigerian time). The match finished 0 - 1, 0 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives Velez Sarsfield a 61% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Gimnasia L.P. 22%. Our pick was Velez Sarsfield to win with 70% confidence at odds of 1.83. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Velez Sarsfield or Gimnasia L.P.) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.28.

Goals: we expect about 2.1 goals (1.1 for Velez Sarsfield, 1.1 for Gimnasia L.P.). The chance of three or more goals is 36%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (80% confidence). 1 goal was scored.

Form and head to head

Velez Sarsfield have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-W-W-D-L), scoring 8 and conceding 6. Gimnasia L.P. have 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-W-W-W-W), scoring 9 and conceding 4. In their last 10 meetings, Velez Sarsfield won 5, Gimnasia L.P. won 8 and 4 ended level.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia L.P.?

Our pre-match prediction is Velez Sarsfield to win (70% confidence) at odds of 1.83. Win chances: Velez Sarsfield 61%, draw 17%, Gimnasia L.P. 22%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia L.P.?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 80% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 36%).

What time is Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia L.P.?

Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia L.P. (Liga Profesional Argentina) was played on Monday 11 May 2026 at 01:30 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia L.P.?

The double chance 12 (Velez Sarsfield or Gimnasia L.P.) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.28. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Liga Profesional Argentina table

Velez Sarsfield3rd28 pts

Gimnasia L.P.–

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Estudiantes L.P.	16	9	4	3	12	31
2	Boca Juniors	16	8	6	2	13	30
3	Velez Sarsfield	16	7	7	2	6	28
4	Talleres Cordoba	16	7	5	4	4	26
5	Independiente	16	6	6	4	4	24
6	Lanus	16	6	6	4	3	24
7	San Lorenzo	16	5	7	4	0	22
8	Union Santa Fe	16	5	6	5	4	21
9	Instituto Cordoba	16	6	3	7	0	21
10	Defensa Y Justicia	16	4	7	5	-3	19
11	Gimnasia M.	16	5	4	7	-8	19
12	Platense	16	3	7	6	-5	16
13	Central Cordoba de Santiago	16	4	4	8	-10	16
14	Newells Old Boys	16	3	6	7	-12	15
15	Deportivo Riestra	16	1	8	7	-7	11