Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory Prediction

A League · Sun 18 Oct 2026
Australia flag Australia : A League
Wellington PhoenixLWWWD
2 - 1
Full time · HT 1 - 1
Melbourne VictoryLDLDL
Kick-offSun 18 Oct, 03:00
Our tip2 @ 2.10 ✗
Goals–
Confidence65%

Full-time report

Our tip2 ✗
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSYes ✓

Goals & cards

C. PiperAssist: M. Sheridan⚽14'
24'⚽C. Nduka
45'Philipp Ziereis
71'Denis Genreau
R. BidoisAssist: N. Walker⚽77'
Bryce Duke82'

Match stats

Wellington PhoenixMelbourne Victory
38%Possession62%
0.74Expected goals (xG)0.92
9Shots5
4Shots on target3
6Corners7
8Fouls6
2Offsides3
1Yellow cards2
2Saves2
71%Pass accuracy78%
Line-ups
Wellington Phoenix4-3-3
  1. 13H. GrayG
  2. 27M. SheridanD
  3. 28B. TuilomaD
  4. 18L. Kelly-HealdD
  5. 23J. McGarryD
  6. 8M. AndersonM
  7. 25K. NagasawaM
  8. 35L. MitchellM
  9. 7B. DukeF
  10. 99C. PiperF
  11. 9R. DuranF

Coach: Chris Greenacre

Melbourne Victory4-4-1-1
  1. 25J. DuncanG
  2. 16J. InserraD
  3. 4P. ZiereisD
  4. 3J. DavidsonD
  5. 18F. LinoD
  6. 11ClarismarioM
  7. 8J. ValadonM
  8. 10D. GenreauM
  9. 14M. GrimaldiM
  10. 21G. MayF
  11. 44C. NdukaF

Coach: Giovanni Savarese

Referee: L. Keevers · Venue: Sky Stadium, Wellington

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Wellington PhoenixLWWWD
07 Nov 26AAuckland0 - 0A League
31 Oct 26ANewcastle Jets3 - 0A League
25 Oct 26HCentral Coast Mariners2 - 0A League
18 Oct 26HMelbourne Victory2 - 1A League
24 Apr 26AMacarthur0 - 4A League
Melbourne VictoryLDLDL
04 Nov 26HPersib Bandung1 - 2AFC Champions League Two
01 Nov 26HCentral Coast Mariners1 - 1A-League
28 Oct 26APersib Bandung0 - 2AFC Champions League Two
24 Oct 26HMelbourne City1 - 1A-League
18 Oct 26AWellington Phoenix1 - 2A-League

Head to head

Full head to head: Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory →

Our prediction

Melbourne Victory to win

@ 2.10
Double chance
12  •  Wellington Phoenix or Melbourne Victory
@ 1.29
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.57
Confidence
65%

Our record

Our tips on Wellington Phoenixlast 14 tipped matches
7/1450%
Our tips in A Leaguelast 30 days
9/2339%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 10% @ 6.50
1 – 2 Melbourne Victory win 8% @ 8.50 Our pick
0 – 1 Melbourne Victory win 7% @ 9.00
2 – 1 Wellington Phoenix win 7% @ 10.00 ✓ Final score
1 – 0 Wellington Phoenix win 6% @ 11.00

Final score: 2 – 1 – in our list ✓. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Wellington Phoenix26%
Draw17%
Melbourne Victory57%

Odds (1X2)

13.00
X3.50
22.10

Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory preview and result

Wellington Phoenix and Melbourne Victory met in the A League on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 03:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 2 - 1, 1 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives Wellington Phoenix a 26% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Melbourne Victory 57%. Our pick was Melbourne Victory to win with 65% confidence at odds of 2.10. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Wellington Phoenix or Melbourne Victory) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.29.

Form and head to head

Wellington Phoenix have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (L-W-W-W-D), scoring 7 and conceding 5. Melbourne Victory have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-D-L-D-L), scoring 4 and conceding 8. In the table, Wellington Phoenix are 1st with 10 points and Melbourne Victory are 9th with 3 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory?

Our pre-match prediction is Melbourne Victory to win (65% confidence) at odds of 2.10. Win chances: Wellington Phoenix 26%, draw 17%, Melbourne Victory 57%.

What time is Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory?

Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory (A League) was played on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 03:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory?

The double chance 12 (Wellington Phoenix or Melbourne Victory) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.29. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

A League table

Wellington Phoenix1st10 pts
Melbourne Victory9th3 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Wellington Phoenix 4310 610
2 Sydney 4211 37
3 Brisbane Roar 3210 27
4 Melbourne City 4211 07
5 Perth Glory 4202 36
6 Western Sydney Wanderers 4121 25
7 Macarthur 4121 05
8 Auckland 4121 -15
9 Melbourne Victory 4031 -13
10 Newcastle Jets 4022 -42
11 Central Coast Mariners 4022 -52
12 Adelaide United 3012 -51