Yarud Mariupol' vs Probiy Horodenka Prediction

Persha Liga · Sun 17 May 2026
Ukraine flag Ukraine : Persha Liga
14:00
⏳ Result pending · Sun 17 May
Probiy HorodenkaWDLDD
Kick-offSun 17 May, 14:00
Our tip1
GoalsUnder 2.5
Confidence55%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Yarud Mariupol'

No matches found.

Probiy HorodenkaWDLDD
08 Nov 26AUCSA1 - 1Persha Liga
01 Nov 26HNyva Ternopil2 - 2Persha Liga
24 Oct 26AOleksandria0 - 2Persha Liga
18 Oct 26HPolissya II1 - 1Persha Liga
10 Oct 26HSK Poltava3 - 2Persha Liga

Head to head

Full head to head: Yarud Mariupol' vs Probiy Horodenka →

Our prediction

Yarud Mariupol' to win

Double chance
12  •  Yarud Mariupol' or Probiy Horodenka
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on Probiy Horodenkalast 20 tipped matches
9/2045%
Our tips in Persha Ligalast 30 days
15/3247%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 40%Under 2.5: 60%
Expected goals
1.42Yarud Mariupol'
2.28Total
0.86Probiy Horodenka

Possible correct scores

1 – 0 Yarud Mariupol' win 15% Our pick
1 – 1 Draw 12%
2 – 0 Yarud Mariupol' win 10%
0 – 0 Draw 10%
2 – 1 Yarud Mariupol' win 9%

Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Yarud Mariupol'49%
Draw11%
Probiy Horodenka40%

Yarud Mariupol' vs Probiy Horodenka preview

Yarud Mariupol' host Probiy Horodenka in the Persha Liga (Ukraine) on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 14:00 Nigerian time. Here is our prediction, the odds, both teams' recent form and their head-to-head record.

Our model gives Yarud Mariupol' a 49% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Probiy Horodenka 40%. That makes our pick Yarud Mariupol' to win with 55% confidence. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Yarud Mariupol' or Probiy Horodenka) covers two of the three results.

Goals: we expect about 2.3 goals (1.4 for Yarud Mariupol', 0.9 for Probiy Horodenka). The chance of three or more goals is 40%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (75% confidence).

Form and head to head

Probiy Horodenka have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (W-D-L-D-D), scoring 7 and conceding 8.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Yarud Mariupol' vs Probiy Horodenka?

Our prediction is Yarud Mariupol' to win (55% confidence). Win chances: Yarud Mariupol' 49%, draw 11%, Probiy Horodenka 40%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Yarud Mariupol' vs Probiy Horodenka?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 40%).

What time is Yarud Mariupol' vs Probiy Horodenka?

Yarud Mariupol' vs Probiy Horodenka (Persha Liga) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 14:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Yarud Mariupol' vs Probiy Horodenka?

The double chance 12 (Yarud Mariupol' or Probiy Horodenka) covers two outcomes. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.