Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction

Eredivisie · Sat 10 Oct 2026
Netherlands flag Netherlands : Eredivisie
AjaxLWWWW
1 - 1
Full time · HT 1 - 1
NEC NijmegenDWDLW
Kick-offSat 10 Oct, 20:00
Our tip1 @ 1.30 ✗
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence70%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✗
Double chance12 ✗
BTTSYes ✓
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
AjaxLWWWW
31 Oct 26HAZ Alkmaar1 - 0Eredivisie
25 Oct 26ASparta Rotterdam2 - 1Eredivisie
22 Oct 26HAtalanta2 - 0UEFA Europa Conference League
18 Oct 26AGroningen5 - 2Eredivisie
15 Oct 26AHNK Hajduk Split1 - 2UEFA Europa Conference League
NEC NijmegenDWDLW
05 Nov 26HOmonia Nicosia3 - 1UEFA Europa League
31 Oct 26AHeerenveen0 - 1Eredivisie
25 Oct 26HGroningen2 - 2Eredivisie
22 Oct 26ADinamo Zagreb4 - 2UEFA Europa League
18 Oct 26HFortuna Sittard2 - 2Eredivisie

Head to head

Full head to head: Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen →

Our prediction

Ajax to win

@ 1.30
Double chance
12  •  Ajax or NEC Nijmegen
@ 1.14
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.53
Confidence
70%

Our record

Our tips on Ajaxlast 20 tipped matches
12/2060%
Our tips on NEC Nijmegenlast 20 tipped matches
7/2035%
Our tips in Eredivisielast 30 days
19/4245%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
90%
Over 2.5: 75%Under 2.5: 25%
Expected goals
2.79Ajax
3.93Total
1.14NEC Nijmegen

Possible correct scores

2 – 1 Ajax win 8% @ 8.00 Our pick
2 – 0 Ajax win 7% @ 9.00
3 – 0 Ajax win 7% @ 9.50
3 – 1 Ajax win 7% @ 9.50
1 – 1 Draw 6% @ 11.00 ✓ Final score

Final score: 1 – 1 – in our list ✓. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Ajax61%
Draw16%
NEC Nijmegen23%

Odds (1X2)

11.30
X5.50
27.50

Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen preview and result

Ajax and NEC Nijmegen met in the Eredivisie on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 20:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 1 - 1, 1 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives Ajax a 61% chance of winning, the draw 16% and NEC Nijmegen 23%. Our pick was Ajax to win with 70% confidence at odds of 1.30. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Ajax or NEC Nijmegen) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.14.

Goals: we expect about 3.9 goals (2.8 for Ajax, 1.1 for NEC Nijmegen). The chance of three or more goals is 75%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (90% confidence). 2 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Ajax have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (L-W-W-W-W), scoring 11 and conceding 5. NEC Nijmegen have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (D-W-D-L-W), scoring 11 and conceding 8. In the table, Ajax are 2nd with 24 points and NEC Nijmegen are 14th with 11 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen?

Our pre-match prediction is Ajax to win (70% confidence) at odds of 1.30. Win chances: Ajax 61%, draw 16%, NEC Nijmegen 23%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen?

We expect about 3.9 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 90% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 75%).

What time is Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen?

Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen (Eredivisie) was played on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 20:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen?

The double chance 12 (Ajax or NEC Nijmegen) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.14. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Eredivisie table

Ajax2nd24 pts
NEC Nijmegen14th11 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Feyenoord 12741 1925
2 Ajax 11731 1724
3 PSV Eindhoven 11722 2223
4 Twente 11722 1823
5 Heerenveen 12633 821
6 AZ Alkmaar 11623 720
7 Fortuna Sittard 12552 020
8 GO Ahead Eagles 12453 -317
9 Groningen 11434 215
10 Cambuur 11434 115
11 Utrecht 11335 -1212
12 Sparta Rotterdam 12336 -812
13 PEC Zwolle 12336 -1112
14 NEC Nijmegen 11254 -211
15 Excelsior 12327 -1311
16 Telstar 12246 -710
17 ADO Den Haag 12237 -99
18 Willem II 12039 -293