Excelsior vs Groningen Prediction

Eredivisie · Sun 11 Oct 2026
Netherlands flag Netherlands : Eredivisie
ExcelsiorLLLWL
1 - 5
Full time · HT 1 - 2
GroningenWLDLL
Kick-offSun 11 Oct, 15:45
Our tip2 @ 2.50 ✓
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip2 ✓
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSYes ✓
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
ExcelsiorLLLWL
01 Nov 26HTwente0 - 9Eredivisie
28 Oct 26AMVV3 - 0KNVB Beker
25 Oct 26AFortuna Sittard0 - 1Eredivisie
16 Oct 26AHeerenveen0 - 4Eredivisie
11 Oct 26HGroningen1 - 5Eredivisie
GroningenWLDLL
01 Nov 26HSparta Rotterdam2 - 3Eredivisie
29 Oct 26HEmmen0 - 2KNVB Beker
25 Oct 26ANEC Nijmegen2 - 2Eredivisie
18 Oct 26HAjax2 - 5Eredivisie
11 Oct 26AExcelsior5 - 1Eredivisie

Head to head

Full head to head: Excelsior vs Groningen →

Our prediction

Groningen to win

@ 2.50
Double chance
12  •  Excelsior or Groningen
@ 1.30
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.50
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on Excelsiorlast 20 tipped matches
14/2070%
Our tips on Groningenlast 20 tipped matches
10/2050%
Our tips in Eredivisielast 30 days
19/4048%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
90%
Over 2.5: 72%Under 2.5: 28%
Expected goals
1.97Excelsior
3.71Total
1.74Groningen

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 10% @ 6.50
2 – 1 Excelsior win 7% @ 9.50
1 – 2 Groningen win 7% @ 9.50 Our pick
2 – 2 Draw 7% @ 10.00
1 – 0 Excelsior win 6% @ 11.00

Final score: 1 – 5 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Excelsior41%
Draw17%
Groningen42%

Odds (1X2)

12.50
X3.40
22.50

Excelsior vs Groningen preview and result

Excelsior and Groningen met in the Eredivisie on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 15:45 (Nigerian time). The match finished 1 - 5, 1 - 2 at half time.

Our model gives Excelsior a 41% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Groningen 42%. Our pick was Groningen to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.50. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Excelsior or Groningen) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.30.

Goals: we expect about 3.7 goals (2.0 for Excelsior, 1.7 for Groningen). The chance of three or more goals is 72%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (90% confidence). 6 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Excelsior have 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-L-W-L), scoring 4 and conceding 19. Groningen have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-L-D-L-L), scoring 11 and conceding 13. In the table, Excelsior are 15th with 11 points and Groningen are 9th with 15 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Excelsior vs Groningen?

Our pre-match prediction is Groningen to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.50. Win chances: Excelsior 41%, draw 17%, Groningen 42%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Excelsior vs Groningen?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 90% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 72%).

What time is Excelsior vs Groningen?

Excelsior vs Groningen (Eredivisie) was played on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 15:45 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Excelsior vs Groningen?

The double chance 12 (Excelsior or Groningen) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.30. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Eredivisie table

Excelsior15th11 pts
Groningen9th15 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Feyenoord 11740 2125
2 Ajax 11731 1724
3 PSV Eindhoven 11722 2223
4 Twente 11722 1823
5 AZ Alkmaar 11623 720
6 Fortuna Sittard 12552 020
7 Heerenveen 11533 618
8 GO Ahead Eagles 12453 -317
9 Groningen 11434 215
10 Cambuur 11434 115
11 Utrecht 11335 -1212
12 Sparta Rotterdam 12336 -812
13 PEC Zwolle 12336 -1112
14 NEC Nijmegen 11254 -211
15 Excelsior 12327 -1311
16 Telstar 12246 -710
17 ADO Den Haag 12237 -99
18 Willem II 12039 -293