Alianza Lima vs FBC Melgar Prediction

Primera División · Tue 10 Mar 2026
Peru flag Peru : Primera División
Alianza LimaWWLWD
3 - 1
Full time · HT 1 - 1
FBC MelgarDWWDL
Kick-offTue 10 Mar, 02:30
Our tip1 @ 1.61 ✓
GoalsUnder 2.5
Confidence70%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✓
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSNo ✗
Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Alianza LimaWWLWD
08 Nov 26AClub Deportivo Los Chankas1 - 1Primera División
04 Nov 26HCienciano1 - 0Primera División
29 Oct 26ASporting Cristal2 - 3Primera División
25 Oct 26AUCV Moquegua1 - 0Primera División
18 Oct 26HAtletico Grau3 - 1Primera División
FBC MelgarDWWDL
02 Nov 26ASport Huancayo0 - 2Primera División
30 Oct 26HComerciantes Unidos1 - 1Primera División
23 Oct 26AUTC Cajamarca2 - 1Primera División
17 Oct 26HDeportivo Garcilaso4 - 2Primera División
11 Oct 26AUniversitario2 - 2Primera División

Head to head

Full head to head: Alianza Lima vs FBC Melgar →

Our prediction

Alianza Lima to win

@ 1.61
Double chance
12  •  Alianza Lima or FBC Melgar
@ 1.22
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.70
Confidence
70%

Our record

Our tips on Alianza Limalast 20 tipped matches
10/2050%
Our tips on FBC Melgarlast 20 tipped matches
8/2040%
Our tips in Primera Divisiónlast 30 days
26/4558%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 43%Under 2.5: 57%
Expected goals
0.90Alianza Lima
2.40Total
1.50FBC Melgar

Possible correct scores

1 – 0 Alianza Lima win 13% @ 5.00 Our pick
2 – 0 Alianza Lima win 11% @ 6.00
1 – 1 Draw 10% @ 6.25
2 – 1 Alianza Lima win 9% @ 7.00
0 – 0 Draw 8% @ 8.00

Final score: 3 – 1 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Alianza Lima64%
Draw17%
FBC Melgar19%

Odds (1X2)

11.61
X3.60
25.75

Alianza Lima vs FBC Melgar preview and result

Alianza Lima and FBC Melgar met in the Primera División on Tuesday 10 March 2026 at 02:30 (Nigerian time). The match finished 3 - 1, 1 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives Alianza Lima a 64% chance of winning, the draw 17% and FBC Melgar 19%. Our pick was Alianza Lima to win with 70% confidence at odds of 1.61. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Alianza Lima or FBC Melgar) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.22.

Goals: we expect about 2.4 goals (0.9 for Alianza Lima, 1.5 for FBC Melgar). The chance of three or more goals is 43%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (75% confidence). 4 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Alianza Lima have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (W-W-L-W-D), scoring 8 and conceding 5. FBC Melgar have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (D-W-W-D-L), scoring 9 and conceding 8.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Alianza Lima vs FBC Melgar?

Our pre-match prediction is Alianza Lima to win (70% confidence) at odds of 1.61. Win chances: Alianza Lima 64%, draw 17%, FBC Melgar 19%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Alianza Lima vs FBC Melgar?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 43%).

What time is Alianza Lima vs FBC Melgar?

Alianza Lima vs FBC Melgar (Primera División) was played on Tuesday 10 March 2026 at 02:30 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Alianza Lima vs FBC Melgar?

The double chance 12 (Alianza Lima or FBC Melgar) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.22. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.