Alverca vs Arouca Prediction

Primeira Liga · Fri 24 Apr 2026
Portugal flag Portugal : Primeira Liga
AlvercaWWLLL
1 - 1
53' · HT 1 - 0
AroucaDWWWW
Kick-offFri 24 Apr, 20:15
Our tip1 @ 2.28
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
AlvercaWWLLL
02 Nov 26ABenfica0 - 1Primeira Liga
24 Oct 26HArouca0 - 1Primeira Liga
18 Oct 26ATondela0 - 2Taça de Portugal
12 Oct 26AFamalicao4 - 1Primeira Liga
19 Sep 26HRio Ave1 - 0Primeira Liga
AroucaDWWWW
01 Nov 26HNacional1 - 0Primeira Liga
24 Oct 26AAlverca1 - 0Primeira Liga
18 Oct 26ACF Os Belenenses4 - 3Taça de Portugal
11 Oct 26HEstrela1 - 0Primeira Liga
19 Sep 26ASporting CP2 - 2Primeira Liga

Head to head

Full head to head: Alverca vs Arouca →

Our prediction

Alverca to win

@ 2.28
Double chance
12  •  Alverca or Arouca
@ 1.28
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.77
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips in Primeira Ligalast 30 days
21/3266%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
80%
Over 2.5: 56%Under 2.5: 44%
Expected goals
1.67Alverca
2.93Total
1.26Arouca

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 11% @ 5.50
1 – 0 Alverca win 10% @ 6.50
2 – 1 Alverca win 8% @ 7.50 Our pick
0 – 1 Arouca win 8% @ 7.50
0 – 0 Draw 8% @ 8.00

Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Alverca42%
Draw18%
Arouca40%

Odds (1X2)

12.28
X3.20
23.10

Alverca vs Arouca preview

Alverca v Arouca in the Primeira Liga is under way – the score is 1 - 1 (53').

Our model gives Alverca a 42% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Arouca 40%. That makes our pick Alverca to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.28. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Alverca or Arouca) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.28.

Goals: we expect about 2.9 goals (1.7 for Alverca, 1.3 for Arouca). The chance of three or more goals is 56%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (80% confidence).

Form and head to head

Alverca have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-W-L-L-L), scoring 5 and conceding 5. Arouca have 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-W-W-W-W), scoring 9 and conceding 5. In the table, Alverca are 11th with 12 points and Arouca are 5th with 20 points.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Alverca vs Arouca?

Our prediction is Alverca to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.28. Win chances: Alverca 42%, draw 18%, Arouca 40%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Alverca vs Arouca?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 80% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 56%).

What time is Alverca vs Arouca?

Alverca vs Arouca (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 20:15 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Alverca vs Arouca?

The double chance 12 (Alverca or Arouca) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.28. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Primeira Liga table

Alverca11th12 pts
Arouca5th20 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 FC Porto 111100 2233
2 Benfica 11911 2028
3 Sporting CP 11731 1324
4 Santa Clara 11632 821
5 Arouca 11623 520
6 Academico Viseu 11623 220
7 GIL Vicente 11533 218
8 SC Braga 11524 217
9 Moreirense 11425 -514
10 Famalicao 11344 113
11 Alverca 11335 -112
12 Estrela 11245 -510
13 Nacional 11317 -810
14 Vitória SC 11236 -19
15 Maritimo 10226 -128
16 Casa Pia 11227 -148
17 Rio Ave 11218 -157
18 Estoril 10028 -142