Tondela vs Nacional Prediction

Primeira Liga · Sat 25 Apr 2026
Portugal flag Portugal : Primeira Liga
Tondela
15:30
⏳ Result pending · Sat 25 Apr
NacionalLLLWL
Kick-offSat 25 Apr, 15:30
Our tip2 @ 2.40
GoalsUnder 2.5
Confidence55%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Tondela

No matches found.

NacionalLLLWL
01 Nov 26AArouca0 - 1Primeira Liga
25 Oct 26HSC Braga1 - 0Primeira Liga
17 Oct 26ASanjoanense0 - 1Taça de Portugal
11 Oct 26ARio Ave2 - 3Primeira Liga
19 Sep 26HFamalicao0 - 4Primeira Liga

Head to head

Full head to head: Tondela vs Nacional →

Our prediction

Nacional to win

@ 2.40
Double chance
12  •  Tondela or Nacional
@ 1.25
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 2.05
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips in Primeira Ligalast 30 days
23/3468%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 43%Under 2.5: 57%
Expected goals
0.96Tondela
2.41Total
1.45Nacional

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 11% @ 5.75
0 – 1 Nacional win 9% @ 7.00 Our pick
1 – 2 Nacional win 8% @ 7.50
1 – 0 Tondela win 8% @ 8.00
2 – 1 Tondela win 7% @ 8.50

Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Tondela34%
Draw18%
Nacional48%

Odds (1X2)

12.82
X3.35
22.40

Tondela vs Nacional preview

Tondela host Nacional in the Primeira Liga (Portugal) on Saturday 25 April 2026 at 15:30 Nigerian time. Here is our prediction, the odds, both teams' recent form and their head-to-head record.

Our model gives Tondela a 34% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Nacional 48%. That makes our pick Nacional to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.40. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Tondela or Nacional) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.25.

Goals: we expect about 2.4 goals (1.0 for Tondela, 1.5 for Nacional). The chance of three or more goals is 43%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (75% confidence).

Form and head to head

Nacional have 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-L-W-L), scoring 3 and conceding 9.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Tondela vs Nacional?

Our prediction is Nacional to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.40. Win chances: Tondela 34%, draw 18%, Nacional 48%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Tondela vs Nacional?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 43%).

What time is Tondela vs Nacional?

Tondela vs Nacional (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Saturday 25 April 2026 at 15:30 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Tondela vs Nacional?

The double chance 12 (Tondela or Nacional) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.25. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Primeira Liga table

Tondela–
Nacional16th7 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 FC Porto 101000 2130
2 Benfica 10811 1925
3 Sporting CP 11731 1324
4 Santa Clara 10631 921
5 Arouca 11623 520
6 Academico Viseu 10622 320
7 GIL Vicente 10433 115
8 SC Braga 10424 114
9 Moreirense 11425 -514
10 Famalicao 11344 113
11 Alverca 11335 -112
12 Estrela 10244 -410
13 Vitória SC 10235 09
14 Maritimo 10226 -128
15 Casa Pia 11227 -148
16 Nacional 10217 -97
17 Rio Ave 10217 -147
18 Estoril 10028 -142