Alverca vs Estrela Prediction

Primeira Liga · Sat 15 Aug 2026
Portugal flag Portugal : Primeira Liga
AlvercaWWLLL
2 - 2
Full time · HT 0 - 0
EstrelaLLWLL
Kick-offSat 15 Aug, 15:30
Our tip1 @ 2.20 ✗
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✗
Double chance12 ✗
BTTSYes ✓
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
AlvercaWWLLL
02 Nov 26ABenfica0 - 1Primeira Liga
24 Oct 26HArouca0 - 1Primeira Liga
18 Oct 26ATondela0 - 2Taça de Portugal
12 Oct 26AFamalicao4 - 1Primeira Liga
19 Sep 26HRio Ave1 - 0Primeira Liga
EstrelaLLWLL
31 Oct 26AMoreirense1 - 2Primeira Liga
24 Oct 26HCasa Pia0 - 2Primeira Liga
17 Oct 26AFazendense2 - 1Taça de Portugal
11 Oct 26AArouca0 - 1Primeira Liga
20 Sep 26HAcademico Viseu0 - 2Primeira Liga

Head to head

Full head to head: Alverca vs Estrela →

Our prediction

Alverca to win

@ 2.20
Double chance
12  •  Alverca or Estrela
@ 1.28
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.83
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on Alvercalast 20 tipped matches
9/2045%
Our tips on Estrelalast 20 tipped matches
8/2040%
Our tips in Primeira Ligalast 30 days
22/3367%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
85%
Over 2.5: 58%Under 2.5: 42%
Expected goals
0.00Alverca
3.00Total
3.00Estrela

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 12% @ 5.50
1 – 0 Alverca win 11% @ 6.00
2 – 1 Alverca win 9% @ 7.50 Our pick
0 – 1 Estrela win 9% @ 7.50
0 – 0 Draw 8% @ 8.00

Final score: 2 – 2 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Alverca44%
Draw18%
Estrela38%

Odds (1X2)

12.20
X3.25
23.30

Alverca vs Estrela preview and result

Alverca and Estrela met in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:30 (Nigerian time). The match finished 2 - 2, 0 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Alverca a 44% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Estrela 38%. Our pick was Alverca to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.20. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Alverca or Estrela) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.28.

Goals: we expect about 3.0 goals (0.0 for Alverca, 3.0 for Estrela). The chance of three or more goals is 58%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (85% confidence). 4 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Alverca have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-W-L-L-L), scoring 5 and conceding 5. Estrela have 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-W-L-L), scoring 3 and conceding 8. In the table, Alverca are 11th with 12 points and Estrela are 12th with 10 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Alverca vs Estrela?

Our pre-match prediction is Alverca to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.20. Win chances: Alverca 44%, draw 18%, Estrela 38%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Alverca vs Estrela?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 85% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 58%).

What time is Alverca vs Estrela?

Alverca vs Estrela (Primeira Liga) was played on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:30 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Alverca vs Estrela?

The double chance 12 (Alverca or Estrela) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.28. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Primeira Liga table

Alverca11th12 pts
Estrela12th10 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 FC Porto 101000 2130
2 Benfica 10811 1925
3 Sporting CP 11731 1324
4 Santa Clara 10631 921
5 Arouca 11623 520
6 Academico Viseu 10622 320
7 GIL Vicente 10433 115
8 SC Braga 10424 114
9 Moreirense 11425 -514
10 Famalicao 11344 113
11 Alverca 11335 -112
12 Estrela 10244 -410
13 Vitória SC 10235 09
14 Maritimo 10226 -128
15 Casa Pia 11227 -148
16 Nacional 10217 -97
17 Rio Ave 10217 -147
18 Estoril 10028 -142