Arouca vs Moreirense Prediction

Primeira Liga · Sun 16 Aug 2026
Portugal flag Portugal : Primeira Liga
AroucaDWWWW
4 - 0
Full time · HT 3 - 0
MoreirenseDLLWW
Kick-offSun 16 Aug, 18:00
Our tip1 @ 2.08 ✓
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✓
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSNo ✓
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
AroucaDWWWW
01 Nov 26HNacional1 - 0Primeira Liga
24 Oct 26AAlverca1 - 0Primeira Liga
18 Oct 26ACF Os Belenenses4 - 3Taça de Portugal
11 Oct 26HEstrela1 - 0Primeira Liga
19 Sep 26ASporting CP2 - 2Primeira Liga
MoreirenseDLLWW
31 Oct 26HEstrela2 - 1Primeira Liga
25 Oct 26AEstoril3 - 1Primeira Liga
17 Oct 26AAVS0 - 1Taça de Portugal
09 Oct 26HGIL Vicente0 - 1Primeira Liga
20 Sep 26AVitória SC1 - 1Primeira Liga

Head to head

Full head to head: Arouca vs Moreirense →

Our prediction

Arouca to win

@ 2.08
Double chance
12  •  Arouca or Moreirense
@ 1.28
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.85
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on Aroucalast 20 tipped matches
11/2055%
Our tips on Moreirenselast 20 tipped matches
12/2060%
Our tips in Primeira Ligalast 30 days
22/3367%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 46%Under 2.5: 54%
Expected goals
0.83Arouca
2.50Total
1.67Moreirense

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 12% @ 5.50
1 – 0 Arouca win 11% @ 5.75
2 – 1 Arouca win 9% @ 7.00
2 – 0 Arouca win 8% @ 8.00
0 – 0 Draw 8% @ 8.00
3 – 0 Arouca win 4% @ 15.00 Our pick

Final score: 4 – 0 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Arouca42%
Draw18%
Moreirense40%

Odds (1X2)

12.08
X3.25
23.50

Arouca vs Moreirense preview and result

Arouca and Moreirense met in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 18:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 4 - 0, 3 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Arouca a 42% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Moreirense 40%. Our pick was Arouca to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.08. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Arouca or Moreirense) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.28.

Goals: we expect about 2.5 goals (0.8 for Arouca, 1.7 for Moreirense). The chance of three or more goals is 46%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence). 4 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Arouca have 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-W-W-W-W), scoring 9 and conceding 5. Moreirense have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-L-L-W-W), scoring 6 and conceding 5. In the table, Arouca are 5th with 20 points and Moreirense are 9th with 14 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Arouca vs Moreirense?

Our pre-match prediction is Arouca to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.08. Win chances: Arouca 42%, draw 18%, Moreirense 40%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Arouca vs Moreirense?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 46%).

What time is Arouca vs Moreirense?

Arouca vs Moreirense (Primeira Liga) was played on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 18:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Arouca vs Moreirense?

The double chance 12 (Arouca or Moreirense) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.28. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Primeira Liga table

Arouca5th20 pts
Moreirense9th14 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 FC Porto 101000 2130
2 Benfica 10811 1925
3 Sporting CP 11731 1324
4 Santa Clara 10631 921
5 Arouca 11623 520
6 Academico Viseu 10622 320
7 GIL Vicente 10433 115
8 SC Braga 10424 114
9 Moreirense 11425 -514
10 Famalicao 11344 113
11 Alverca 11335 -112
12 Estrela 10244 -410
13 Vitória SC 10235 09
14 Maritimo 10226 -128
15 Casa Pia 11227 -148
16 Nacional 10217 -97
17 Rio Ave 10217 -147
18 Estoril 10028 -142