Portugal : Primeira Liga
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AroucaDWWWW
NacionalLLLWLHead to head
Arouca 8 · Draws 5 · Nacional 2 (15 meetings, last 10 below)
Our prediction
Arouca to win
@ 2.30Our record
Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.
Who will win?
Voting closed at kick-off.
Goals outlook
Possible correct scores
Final score: 3 – 0 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.
Win probability
Odds (1X2)
Arouca vs Nacional preview and result
Arouca and Nacional met in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 16:30 (Nigerian time). The match finished 3 - 0, 0 - 0 at half time.
Our model gives Arouca a 46% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Nacional 36%. Our pick was Arouca to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.30. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Arouca or Nacional) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.31.
Goals: we expect about 3.1 goals (1.9 for Arouca, 1.2 for Nacional). The chance of three or more goals is 59%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (85% confidence). 3 goals were scored.
Form and head to head
Arouca have 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-W-W-W-W), scoring 9 and conceding 5. Nacional have 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-L-W-L), scoring 3 and conceding 9. In their last 10 meetings, Arouca won 8, Nacional won 2 and 5 ended level. In the table, Arouca are 5th with 20 points and Nacional are 16th with 7 points.
Frequently asked questions
What was the prediction for Arouca vs Nacional?
Our pre-match prediction is Arouca to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.30. Win chances: Arouca 46%, draw 18%, Nacional 36%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Arouca vs Nacional?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 85% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 59%).
What time is Arouca vs Nacional?
Arouca vs Nacional (Primeira Liga) was played on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 16:30 Nigerian time (WAT).
What is a safe bet for Arouca vs Nacional?
The double chance 12 (Arouca or Nacional) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.31. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.
Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto |
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 30 |
| 2 |  Benfica |
10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 25 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP |
11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 24 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara |
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 21 |
| 5 |  Arouca |
11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 20 |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu |
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 20 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente |
10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 |  SC Braga |
10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 |  Moreirense |
11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 14 |
| 10 |  Famalicao |
11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 |
| 11 |  Alverca |
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 |  Estrela |
10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 |  Vitória SC |
10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 9 |
| 14 |  Maritimo |
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 8 |
| 15 |  Casa Pia |
11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -14 | 8 |
| 16 |  Nacional |
10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -9 | 7 |
| 17 |  Rio Ave |
10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 7 |
| 18 |  Estoril |
10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -14 | 2 |
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