Estrela vs Tondela Prediction

Primeira Liga · Fri 20 Feb 2026
Portugal flag Portugal : Primeira Liga
EstrelaLLWLL
0 - 2
Full time · HT 0 - 1
Tondela
Kick-offFri 20 Feb, 21:45
Our tip1 @ 2.55 ✗
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✗
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSNo ✓
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
EstrelaLLWLL
31 Oct 26AMoreirense1 - 2Primeira Liga
24 Oct 26HCasa Pia0 - 2Primeira Liga
17 Oct 26AFazendense2 - 1Taça de Portugal
11 Oct 26AArouca0 - 1Primeira Liga
20 Sep 26HAcademico Viseu0 - 2Primeira Liga
Tondela

No matches found.

Head to head

Full head to head: Estrela vs Tondela →

Our prediction

Estrela to win

@ 2.55
Double chance
12  •  Estrela or Tondela
@ 1.34
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.75
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on Estrelalast 20 tipped matches
8/2040%
Our tips in Primeira Ligalast 30 days
22/3171%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 49%Under 2.5: 51%
Expected goals
1.32Estrela
2.64Total
1.32Tondela

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 12% @ 6.00
1 – 0 Estrela win 10% @ 7.00
0 – 1 Tondela win 10% @ 7.25
0 – 0 Draw 9% @ 8.00
2 – 1 Estrela win 7% @ 10.50
3 – 0 Estrela win 3% @ 23.00 Our pick

Final score: 0 – 2 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Estrela42%
Draw18%
Tondela40%

Odds (1X2)

12.55
X3.10
22.75

Estrela vs Tondela preview and result

Estrela and Tondela met in the Primeira Liga on Friday 20 February 2026 at 21:45 (Nigerian time). The match finished 0 - 2, 0 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives Estrela a 42% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Tondela 40%. Our pick was Estrela to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.55. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Estrela or Tondela) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.34.

Goals: we expect about 2.6 goals (1.3 for Estrela, 1.3 for Tondela). The chance of three or more goals is 49%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence). 2 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Estrela have 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-W-L-L), scoring 3 and conceding 8.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Estrela vs Tondela?

Our pre-match prediction is Estrela to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.55. Win chances: Estrela 42%, draw 18%, Tondela 40%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Estrela vs Tondela?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 49%).

What time is Estrela vs Tondela?

Estrela vs Tondela (Primeira Liga) was played on Friday 20 February 2026 at 21:45 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Estrela vs Tondela?

The double chance 12 (Estrela or Tondela) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.34. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Primeira Liga table

Estrela12th10 pts
Tondela–
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 FC Porto 101000 2130
2 Benfica 10811 1925
3 Sporting CP 11731 1324
4 Santa Clara 10631 921
5 Arouca 11623 520
6 Academico Viseu 10622 320
7 GIL Vicente 10433 115
8 SC Braga 10424 114
9 Moreirense 11425 -514
10 Famalicao 11344 113
11 Alverca 11335 -112
12 Estrela 10244 -410
13 Vitória SC 10235 09
14 Maritimo 10226 -128
15 Casa Pia 11227 -148
16 Nacional 10217 -97
17 Rio Ave 10217 -147
18 Estoril 10028 -142