FSV Mainz 05 vs Hamburger SV Prediction

Bundesliga · Fri 20 Feb 2026
Germany flag Germany : Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05WLLLL
1 - 1
Full time · HT 1 - 0
Hamburger SVWWLLL
Kick-offFri 20 Feb, 20:30
Our tip1 @ 2.00 ✗
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✗
Double chance12 ✗
BTTSYes ✓
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
FSV Mainz 05WLLLL
07 Nov 26HBayern München1 - 2Bundesliga
30 Oct 26ASV Elversberg1 - 4Bundesliga
27 Oct 26AVfL Bochum0 - 2DFB Pokal
24 Oct 26HWerder Bremen2 - 3Bundesliga
17 Oct 26AFC Schalke 041 - 0Bundesliga
Hamburger SVWWLLL
01 Nov 26AEintracht Frankfurt1 - 3Bundesliga
27 Oct 26HEintracht Frankfurt1 - 3DFB Pokal
24 Oct 26ASC Paderborn 070 - 1Bundesliga
17 Oct 26HVfB Stuttgart1 - 0Bundesliga
10 Oct 26A1899 Hoffenheim3 - 2Bundesliga

Head to head

FSV Mainz 05 1 · Draws 1 · Hamburger SV 0 (2 meetings)

06 Sep 26Hamburger SV0 - 5FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga
20 Feb 26FSV Mainz 051 - 1Hamburger SVBundesliga

Full head to head: FSV Mainz 05 vs Hamburger SV →

Our prediction

FSV Mainz 05 to win

@ 2.00
Double chance
12  •  FSV Mainz 05 or Hamburger SV
@ 1.30
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.68
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on FSV Mainz 05last 20 tipped matches
11/2055%
Our tips on Hamburger SVlast 20 tipped matches
10/2050%
Our tips in Bundesligalast 30 days
18/3749%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 51%Under 2.5: 49%
Expected goals
1.44FSV Mainz 05
2.72Total
1.28Hamburger SV

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 11% @ 6.75 ✓ Final score
1 – 0 FSV Mainz 05 win 9% @ 8.00
2 – 1 FSV Mainz 05 win 9% @ 8.50 Our pick
2 – 0 FSV Mainz 05 win 7% @ 10.00
0 – 0 Draw 7% @ 10.00

Final score: 1 – 1 – in our list ✓. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

FSV Mainz 0547%
Draw18%
Hamburger SV35%

Odds (1X2)

12.00
X3.40
23.75

FSV Mainz 05 vs Hamburger SV preview and result

FSV Mainz 05 and Hamburger SV met in the Bundesliga on Friday 20 February 2026 at 20:30 (Nigerian time). The match finished 1 - 1, 1 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives FSV Mainz 05 a 47% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Hamburger SV 35%. Our pick was FSV Mainz 05 to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.00. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (FSV Mainz 05 or Hamburger SV) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.30.

Goals: we expect about 2.7 goals (1.4 for FSV Mainz 05, 1.3 for Hamburger SV). The chance of three or more goals is 51%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence). 2 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

FSV Mainz 05 have 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-L-L-L-L), scoring 5 and conceding 11. Hamburger SV have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-W-L-L-L), scoring 6 and conceding 9. In their last 2 meetings, FSV Mainz 05 won 1, Hamburger SV won 0 and 1 ended level. In the table, FSV Mainz 05 are 10th with 10 points and Hamburger SV are 8th with 12 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for FSV Mainz 05 vs Hamburger SV?

Our pre-match prediction is FSV Mainz 05 to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.00. Win chances: FSV Mainz 05 47%, draw 18%, Hamburger SV 35%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in FSV Mainz 05 vs Hamburger SV?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 51%).

What time is FSV Mainz 05 vs Hamburger SV?

FSV Mainz 05 vs Hamburger SV (Bundesliga) was played on Friday 20 February 2026 at 20:30 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for FSV Mainz 05 vs Hamburger SV?

The double chance 12 (FSV Mainz 05 or Hamburger SV) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.30. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Bundesliga table

FSV Mainz 0510th10 pts
Hamburger SV8th12 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Bayern München 8530 1918
2 Borussia Dortmund 8530 818
3 SC Freiburg 8512 816
4 RB Leipzig 8503 1115
5 Werder Bremen 8431 315
6 Bayer Leverkusen 8413 213
7 SV Elversberg 8413 013
8 Hamburger SV 9405 -1012
9 Eintracht Frankfurt 8323 -511
10 FSV Mainz 05 8314 010
11 FC Augsburg 8233 39
12 VfB Stuttgart 8305 -19
13 1899 Hoffenheim 8305 -29
14 1. FC Köln 8233 -39
15 SC Paderborn 07 8233 -39
16 Union Berlin 8143 -127
17 FC Schalke 04 8134 -56
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 9117 -134