RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction

Bundesliga · Sat 21 Feb 2026
Germany flag Germany : Bundesliga
RB LeipzigLWWWL
1 - 0
37'
Borussia DortmundDWWWD
Kick-offSat 21 Feb, 18:30
Our tip1 @ 2.05
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
RB LeipzigLWWWL
04 Nov 26HManchester City2 - 3UEFA Champions League
31 Oct 26AFC Schalke 042 - 0Bundesliga
27 Oct 26ARot-Weiß Essen2 - 1DFB Pokal
24 Oct 26HSV Elversberg4 - 0Bundesliga
21 Oct 26AReal Madrid1 - 4UEFA Champions League
Borussia DortmundDWWWD
31 Oct 26ABayern München2 - 2Bundesliga
27 Oct 26HWerder Bremen3 - 2DFB Pokal
24 Oct 26HEintracht Frankfurt1 - 0Bundesliga
20 Oct 26ASabah FA2 - 1UEFA Champions League
17 Oct 26AUnion Berlin0 - 0Bundesliga

Head to head

Full head to head: RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund →

Our prediction

RB Leipzig to win

@ 2.05
Double chance
12  •  RB Leipzig or Borussia Dortmund
@ 1.24
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.42
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on RB Leipziglast 20 tipped matches
16/2080%
Our tips in Bundesligalast 30 days
23/4353%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
85%
Over 2.5: 61%Under 2.5: 39%
Expected goals
1.19RB Leipzig
3.16Total
1.97Borussia Dortmund

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 9% @ 8.25
2 – 1 RB Leipzig win 8% @ 8.75 Our pick
2 – 2 Draw 7% @ 11.00
1 – 2 Borussia Dortmund win 7% @ 11.00
1 – 0 RB Leipzig win 6% @ 12.50

Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

RB Leipzig45%
Draw16%
Borussia Dortmund39%

Odds (1X2)

12.05
X4.00
23.10

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund preview

RB Leipzig v Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga is under way – the score is 1 - 0 (37').

Our model gives RB Leipzig a 45% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Borussia Dortmund 39%. That makes our pick RB Leipzig to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.05. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (RB Leipzig or Borussia Dortmund) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.24.

Goals: we expect about 3.2 goals (1.2 for RB Leipzig, 2.0 for Borussia Dortmund). The chance of three or more goals is 61%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (85% confidence).

Form and head to head

RB Leipzig have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-W-W-W-L), scoring 11 and conceding 8. Borussia Dortmund have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-W-W-W-D), scoring 8 and conceding 5. In the table, RB Leipzig are 3rd with 18 points and Borussia Dortmund are 2nd with 21 points.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund?

Our prediction is RB Leipzig to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.05. Win chances: RB Leipzig 45%, draw 16%, Borussia Dortmund 39%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 85% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 61%).

What time is RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund?

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund (Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 18:30 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund?

The double chance 12 (RB Leipzig or Borussia Dortmund) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.24. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Bundesliga table

RB Leipzig3rd18 pts
Borussia Dortmund2nd21 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Bayern München 9630 2021
2 Borussia Dortmund 9630 921
3 RB Leipzig 9603 1418
4 SC Freiburg 8512 816
5 Werder Bremen 9432 215
6 Bayer Leverkusen 8413 213
7 SV Elversberg 9414 -113
8 VfB Stuttgart 9405 012
9 Eintracht Frankfurt 9333 -512
10 Hamburger SV 9405 -1012
11 FSV Mainz 05 9315 -110
12 SC Paderborn 07 9243 -310
13 FC Augsburg 9234 09
14 1899 Hoffenheim 8305 -29
15 1. FC Köln 8233 -39
16 Union Berlin 8143 -127
17 FC Schalke 04 8134 -56
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 9117 -134