Arsenal vs Chelsea Prediction

Premier League · Sun 1 Mar 2026
England flag England : Premier League
ArsenalDWDWW
2 - 1
Full time · HT 1 - 1
ChelseaLWDDW
Kick-offSun 1 Mar, 17:30
Our tip1 @ 1.56 ✓
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence75%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✓
Double chance1X ✓
BTTSYes ✓
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
ArsenalDWDWW
04 Nov 26ASlavia Praha2 - 1UEFA Champions League
01 Nov 26ALiverpool1 - 0Premier League
27 Oct 26AFleetwood Town1 - 1League Cup
24 Oct 26HEverton2 - 0Premier League
21 Oct 26ABayern München2 - 2UEFA Champions League
ChelseaLWDDW
31 Oct 26HManchester United2 - 0Premier League
28 Oct 26ALiverpool1 - 1League Cup
12 Sep 26HHull City2 - 2Premier League
09 Sep 26HLeeds6 - 3League Cup
06 Sep 26AArsenal1 - 2Premier League

Head to head

Arsenal 2 · Draws 0 · Chelsea 0 (2 meetings)

06 Sep 26Arsenal2 - 1ChelseaPremier League
01 Mar 26Arsenal2 - 1ChelseaPremier League

Full head to head: Arsenal vs Chelsea →

Our prediction

Arsenal to win

@ 1.56
Double chance
1X  •  Arsenal or Draw
@ 1.14
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.77
Confidence
75%

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
80%
Over 2.5: 54%Under 2.5: 46%
Expected goals
1.53Arsenal
2.84Total
1.31Chelsea

Possible correct scores

1 – 0 Arsenal win 10% @ 6.50 Our pick
2 – 0 Arsenal win 10% @ 6.50
2 – 1 Arsenal win 10% @ 6.50 ✓ Final score
1 – 1 Draw 10% @ 6.50
3 – 0 Arsenal win 6% @ 10.00

Final score: 2 – 1 – in our list ✓. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Arsenal68%
Draw18%
Chelsea14%

Odds (1X2)

11.56
X4.10
25.40

Arsenal vs Chelsea preview and result

Arsenal and Chelsea met in the Premier League on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 17:30 (Nigerian time). The match finished 2 - 1, 1 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives Arsenal a 68% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Chelsea 14%. Our pick was Arsenal to win with 75% confidence at odds of 1.56. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 1X (Arsenal or Draw) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.14.

Goals: we expect about 2.8 goals (1.5 for Arsenal, 1.3 for Chelsea). The chance of three or more goals is 54%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (80% confidence). 3 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Arsenal have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-W-D-W-W), scoring 8 and conceding 4. Chelsea have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (L-W-D-D-W), scoring 12 and conceding 8. In their last 2 meetings, Arsenal won 2, Chelsea won 0 and 0 ended level. In the table, Arsenal are 2nd with 21 points and Chelsea are 5th with 13 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Arsenal vs Chelsea?

Our pre-match prediction is Arsenal to win (75% confidence) at odds of 1.56. Win chances: Arsenal 68%, draw 18%, Chelsea 14%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Arsenal vs Chelsea?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 80% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 54%).

What time is Arsenal vs Chelsea?

Arsenal vs Chelsea (Premier League) was played on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 17:30 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Arsenal vs Chelsea?

The double chance 1X (Arsenal or Draw) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.14. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Premier League table

Arsenal2nd21 pts
Chelsea5th13 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Manchester City 8701 1121
2 Arsenal 8701 821
3 Brighton 8512 1616
4 Liverpool 8431 315
5 Chelsea 8413 213
6 Brentford 8251 511
7 Leeds 8251 311
8 Newcastle 8323 -211
9 Aston Villa 8323 -311
10 Hull City 8242 110
11 Everton 8242 -110
12 Ipswich 8314 -410
13 Bournemouth 8233 -19
14 Tottenham 8233 -29
15 Fulham 8224 -28
16 Manchester United 8143 -37
17 Crystal Palace 8215 -107
18 Nottingham Forest 8134 -46
19 Coventry 8206 -96
20 Sunderland 8125 -85