AS Roma vs Real Madrid Prediction

UEFA Champions League · Wed 14 Oct 2026
Europe : UEFA Champions League
AS RomaDWWWL
3 - 1
64' · HT 1 - 1
Real MadridWWWWW
Kick-offWed 14 Oct, 20:00
Our tip2 @ 1.91
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence70%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
AS RomaDWWWL
03 Nov 26AManchester United2 - 3UEFA Champions League
31 Oct 26AUdinese5 - 2Serie A
27 Oct 26HCagliari4 - 2Serie A
20 Oct 26HSlovan Bratislava4 - 0UEFA Champions League
11 Oct 26AComo0 - 0Serie A
Real MadridWWWWW
01 Nov 26ARacing Santander3 - 0La Liga
25 Oct 26ABarcelona2 - 1La Liga
21 Oct 26HRB Leipzig4 - 1UEFA Champions League
18 Oct 26HSevilla4 - 1La Liga
14 Oct 26AAS Roma4 - 3UEFA Champions League

Head to head

Full head to head: AS Roma vs Real Madrid →

Our prediction

Real Madrid to win

@ 1.91
Double chance
X2  •  Draw or Real Madrid
@ 1.30
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.40
Confidence
70%

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 46%Under 2.5: 54%
Expected goals
0.83AS Roma
2.50Total
1.67Real Madrid

Win probability

AS Roma17%
Draw22%
Real Madrid61%

Odds (1X2)

13.40
X3.80
21.91

AS Roma vs Real Madrid preview

AS Roma v Real Madrid in the UEFA Champions League is under way – the score is 3 - 1 (64').

Our model gives AS Roma a 17% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Real Madrid 61%. That makes our pick Real Madrid to win with 70% confidence at odds of 1.91. For a safer option, the double chance X2 (Draw or Real Madrid) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.30.

Goals: we expect about 2.5 goals (0.8 for AS Roma, 1.7 for Real Madrid). The chance of three or more goals is 46%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence).

Form and head to head

AS Roma have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (D-W-W-W-L), scoring 15 and conceding 7. Real Madrid have 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-W-W-W-W), scoring 17 and conceding 6. In the table, AS Roma are 15th with 4 points and Real Madrid are 4th with 9 points.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win AS Roma vs Real Madrid?

Our prediction is Real Madrid to win (70% confidence) at odds of 1.91. Win chances: AS Roma 17%, draw 22%, Real Madrid 61%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in AS Roma vs Real Madrid?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 46%).

What time is AS Roma vs Real Madrid?

AS Roma vs Real Madrid (UEFA Champions League) kicks off on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 20:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for AS Roma vs Real Madrid?

The double chance X2 (Draw or Real Madrid) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.30. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

UEFA Champions League table

AS Roma15th4 pts
Real Madrid4th9 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Paris Saint Germain 3300 99
2 Aston Villa 3300 99
3 Liverpool 3300 59
4 Real Madrid 3300 59
5 Real Betis 3300 39
6 VfB Stuttgart 3210 57
7 Arsenal 3210 47
8 Barcelona 3201 56
9 Como 3201 56
10 Manchester City 3201 46
11 Club Brugge KV 3201 36
12 Sporting CP 3201 36
13 Borussia Dortmund 3201 16
14 Bayern München 3120 55
15 AS Roma 3111 34
16 Atletico Madrid 3111 14
17 Shakhtar Donetsk 3111 14
18 PSV Eindhoven 3111 04
19 Villarreal 3102 03
20 Inter 3102 -13
21 Manchester United 3102 -13
22 Napoli 3102 -23
23 Galatasaray 3102 -33
24 Lask Linz 3102 -33
25 Sabah FA 3102 -33
26 Feyenoord 3102 -43
27 Lens 3102 -43
28 Bodo/Glimt 3102 -53
29 AEK Athens FC 3102 -53
30 RB Leipzig 3102 -53
31 Fenerbahçe 3021 -62
32 Slavia Praha 3012 -31
33 Viking 3012 -41
34 FC Porto 3003 -40
35 Lille 3003 -60
36 Slovan Bratislava 3003 -120