QPR vs Derby Prediction

Championship · Wed 14 Oct 2026
England flag England : Championship
QPR logoQPR
4 - 0
73' · HT 3 - 0
Derby logoDerby
Kick-offWed 14 Oct, 19:45
Our tip1 @ 1.65
GoalsUnder 2.5
Confidence75%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away

Head to head

Our prediction

QPR to win

@ 1.65
Backup prediction
1X  •  QPR or Draw
@ 1.18
Confidence
75%

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 41%Under 2.5: 59%
Expected goals
1.33QPR
2.33Total
1.00Derby

Win probability

QPR67%
Draw25%
Derby8%

Odds (1X2)

11.65
X3.80
24.80

QPR vs Derby preview

QPR v Derby in the Championship is under way – the score is 4 - 0 (73').

Our model gives QPR a 67% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Derby 8%. That makes our pick QPR to win with 75% confidence at odds of 1.65. For a safer option, the double chance 1X (QPR or Draw) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.18.

Goals: we expect about 2.3 goals (1.3 for QPR, 1.0 for Derby). The chance of three or more goals is 41%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (75% confidence).

Form and head to head

In the table, QPR are 11th with 21 points and Derby are 23rd with 7 points.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win QPR vs Derby?

Our prediction is QPR to win (75% confidence) at odds of 1.65. Win chances: QPR 67%, draw 25%, Derby 8%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in QPR vs Derby?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 41%).

What time is QPR vs Derby?

QPR vs Derby (Championship) kicks off on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 19:45 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for QPR vs Derby?

The double chance 1X (QPR or Draw) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.18. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Championship table

QPR11th21 pts
Derby23rd7 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Middlesbrough 13841 1328
2 Birmingham 14752 1326
3 Stoke City 14824 526
4 Swansea 14824 526
5 West Brom 14743 525
6 Southampton 14842 1524
7 Wolves 13733 724
8 West Ham 13643 1522
9 Sheffield Utd 14644 322
10 Portsmouth 14644 322
11 QPR 14563 521
12 Norwich 14608 318
13 Millwall 14536 -118
14 Blackburn 14536 -218
15 Bristol City 13535 -218
16 Bolton 14527 -717
17 Lincoln 14437 -1015
18 Cardiff 13355 -114
19 Wrexham 13355 -414
20 Watford 14428 -1014
21 Charlton 14356 -1114
22 Burnley 14176 -810
23 Derby 14149 -187
24 Preston 141211 -185