Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad Prediction

La Liga · Sat 7 Mar 2026
Spain flag Spain : La Liga
Atletico MadridWDWWL
18:30
⏳ Result pending · Sat 7 Mar
Real SociedadWWLDW
Kick-offSat 7 Mar, 18:30
Our tip1 @ 1.63
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence70%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Atletico MadridWDWWL
03 Nov 26HBayern München0 - 2UEFA Champions League
31 Oct 26ALevante2 - 0La Liga
24 Oct 26HDeportivo La Coruna1 - 0La Liga
20 Oct 26AVfB Stuttgart1 - 1UEFA Champions League
17 Oct 26AEspanyol1 - 0La Liga
Real SociedadWWLDW
08 Nov 26HRayo Vallecano1 - 0La Liga
05 Nov 26HLyon1 - 1UEFA Europa League
01 Nov 26AAthletic Club1 - 2La Liga
25 Oct 26HLevante2 - 1La Liga
22 Oct 26ALillestrom6 - 0UEFA Europa League

Head to head

Full head to head: Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad →

Our prediction

Atletico Madrid to win

@ 1.63
Double chance
12  •  Atletico Madrid or Real Sociedad
@ 1.20
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.80
Confidence
70%

Our record

Our tips on Atletico Madridlast 20 tipped matches
13/2065%
Our tips on Real Sociedadlast 20 tipped matches
14/2070%
Our tips in La Ligalast 30 days
23/4156%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 51%Under 2.5: 49%
Expected goals
0.98Atletico Madrid
2.73Total
1.75Real Sociedad

Possible correct scores

1 – 0 Atletico Madrid win 10% @ 6.00
2 – 0 Atletico Madrid win 10% @ 6.50
2 – 1 Atletico Madrid win 10% @ 6.50 Our pick
1 – 1 Draw 10% @ 6.50
0 – 0 Draw 7% @ 9.50

Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Atletico Madrid61%
Draw17%
Real Sociedad22%

Odds (1X2)

11.63
X3.85
25.10

Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad preview

Atletico Madrid host Real Sociedad in the La Liga (Spain) on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 18:30 Nigerian time. Here is our prediction, the odds, both teams' recent form and their head-to-head record.

Our model gives Atletico Madrid a 61% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Real Sociedad 22%. That makes our pick Atletico Madrid to win with 70% confidence at odds of 1.63. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Atletico Madrid or Real Sociedad) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.20.

Goals: we expect about 2.7 goals (1.0 for Atletico Madrid, 1.8 for Real Sociedad). The chance of three or more goals is 51%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence).

Form and head to head

Atletico Madrid have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (W-D-W-W-L), scoring 5 and conceding 3. Real Sociedad have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (W-W-L-D-W), scoring 11 and conceding 4. In the table, Atletico Madrid are 3rd with 28 points and Real Sociedad are 5th with 22 points.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad?

Our prediction is Atletico Madrid to win (70% confidence) at odds of 1.63. Win chances: Atletico Madrid 61%, draw 17%, Real Sociedad 22%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 51%).

What time is Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad?

Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad (La Liga) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 18:30 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad?

The double chance 12 (Atletico Madrid or Real Sociedad) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.20. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

La Liga table

Atletico Madrid3rd28 pts
Real Sociedad5th22 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Barcelona 121101 3533
2 Real Madrid 121002 2130
3 Atletico Madrid 12912 1328
4 Real Betis 12822 526
5 Real Sociedad 12714 122
6 Sevilla 12534 -218
7 Athletic Club 11443 416
8 Villarreal 12435 215
9 Deportivo La Coruna 12363 115
10 Racing Santander 12426 -1314
11 Celta Vigo 12273 013
12 Alaves 12345 -213
13 Espanyol 12336 -112
14 Rayo Vallecano 11335 -612
15 Getafe 12336 -1012
16 Osasuna 12336 -1112
17 Levante 12255 -511
18 Elche 12246 -610
19 Valencia 12237 -129
20 Malaga 12057 -145