Valencia vs Alaves Prediction

La Liga · Sun 8 Mar 2026
Spain flag Spain : La Liga
ValenciaDDLWL
0 - 1
33'
AlavesDLLDL
Kick-offSun 8 Mar, 21:00
Our tip1 @ 2.00
GoalsUnder 2.5
Confidence55%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
ValenciaDDLWL
07 Nov 26HReal Madrid0 - 3La Liga
01 Nov 26AElche1 - 0La Liga
24 Oct 26HVillarreal1 - 2La Liga
17 Oct 26HAthletic Club0 - 0La Liga
11 Oct 26ARacing Santander2 - 2La Liga
AlavesDLLDL
31 Oct 26ABarcelona1 - 6La Liga
23 Oct 26HMalaga1 - 1La Liga
18 Oct 26ACelta Vigo1 - 2La Liga
10 Oct 26HAtletico Madrid1 - 2La Liga
19 Sep 26AAthletic Club0 - 0La Liga

Head to head

Full head to head: Valencia vs Alaves →

Our prediction

Valencia to win

@ 2.00
Double chance
12  •  Valencia or Alaves
@ 1.30
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.73
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on Valencialast 20 tipped matches
7/2035%
Our tips on Alaveslast 20 tipped matches
6/2030%
Our tips in La Ligalast 30 days
23/4353%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 42%Under 2.5: 58%
Expected goals
1.19Valencia
2.37Total
1.18Alaves

Possible correct scores

1 – 0 Valencia win 13% @ 5.00 Our pick
1 – 1 Draw 12% @ 5.25
0 – 0 Draw 10% @ 6.50
2 – 0 Valencia win 9% @ 7.50
2 – 1 Valencia win 9% @ 7.50

Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Valencia43%
Draw18%
Alaves39%

Odds (1X2)

12.00
X3.10
24.00

Valencia vs Alaves preview

Valencia v Alaves in the La Liga is under way – the score is 0 - 1 (33').

Our model gives Valencia a 43% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Alaves 39%. That makes our pick Valencia to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.00. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Valencia or Alaves) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.30.

Goals: we expect about 2.4 goals (1.2 for Valencia, 1.2 for Alaves). The chance of three or more goals is 42%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (75% confidence).

Form and head to head

Valencia have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-D-L-W-L), scoring 4 and conceding 7. Alaves have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-L-L-D-L), scoring 4 and conceding 11. In the table, Valencia are 19th with 9 points and Alaves are 10th with 13 points.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Valencia vs Alaves?

Our prediction is Valencia to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.00. Win chances: Valencia 43%, draw 18%, Alaves 39%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Valencia vs Alaves?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 42%).

What time is Valencia vs Alaves?

Valencia vs Alaves (La Liga) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 21:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Valencia vs Alaves?

The double chance 12 (Valencia or Alaves) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.30. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

La Liga table

Valencia19th9 pts
Alaves10th13 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Barcelona 111001 3430
2 Real Madrid 121002 2130
3 Atletico Madrid 11911 1428
4 Real Betis 11722 323
5 Real Sociedad 11614 019
6 Sevilla 12534 -218
7 Athletic Club 11443 416
8 Deportivo La Coruna 12363 115
9 Racing Santander 12426 -1314
10 Alaves 12345 -213
11 Villarreal 11335 012
12 Celta Vigo 11263 012
13 Espanyol 12336 -112
14 Rayo Vallecano 10334 -512
15 Getafe 11335 -812
16 Osasuna 12336 -1112
17 Elche 11245 -410
18 Levante 11245 -510
19 Valencia 12237 -129
20 Malaga 12057 -145