Atletico-MG vs Coritiba Prediction

Serie A · Sat 17 Oct 2026
Brazil flag Brazil : Serie A
Atletico-MGLLLLD
1 - 0
Full time · HT 0 - 0
CoritibaDLLWL
Kick-offSat 17 Oct, 22:30
Our tip1 @ 1.53 ✓
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence70%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✓
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSYes ✗
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Atletico-MGLLLLD
07 Nov 26HGremio1 - 1Copa Do Brasil
05 Nov 26ABotafogo0 - 1Serie A
01 Nov 26AGremio0 - 2Copa Do Brasil
29 Oct 26HCruzeiro0 - 1Serie A
26 Oct 26AFlamengo2 - 3Serie A
CoritibaDLLWL
04 Nov 26AInternacional0 - 1Serie A
31 Oct 26HVitoria2 - 0Serie A
26 Oct 26HGremio0 - 1Serie A
17 Oct 26AAtletico-MG0 - 1Serie A
12 Oct 26HBotafogo1 - 1Serie A

Head to head

Atletico-MG 13 · Draws 2 · Coritiba 7 (22 meetings, last 10 below)

17 Oct 26Atletico-MG1 - 0CoritibaSerie A
19 Apr 26Coritiba2 - 0Atletico-MGSerie A
08 Oct 23Atletico-MG1 - 2CoritibaSerie A
20 May 23Coritiba1 - 2Atletico-MGSerie A
14 Aug 22Coritiba0 - 1Atletico-MGSerie A
24 Apr 22Atletico-MG2 - 2CoritibaSerie A
26 Dec 20Atletico-MG2 - 0CoritibaSerie A
06 Sep 20Coritiba0 - 1Atletico-MGSerie A
19 Nov 17Atletico-MG3 - 0CoritibaSerie A
30 Jul 17Coritiba0 - 2Atletico-MGSerie A

Full head to head: Atletico-MG vs Coritiba →

Our prediction

Atletico-MG to win

@ 1.53
Double chance
12  •  Atletico-MG or Coritiba
@ 1.22
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.80
Confidence
70%

Our record

Our tips on Atletico-MGlast 20 tipped matches
14/2070%
Our tips on Coritibalast 20 tipped matches
10/2050%
Our tips in Serie Alast 30 days
25/4063%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 51%Under 2.5: 49%
Expected goals
1.73Atletico-MG
2.70Total
0.97Coritiba

Possible correct scores

1 – 0 Atletico-MG win 10% @ 6.50 ✓ Final score
2 – 0 Atletico-MG win 9% @ 7.00
2 – 1 Atletico-MG win 9% @ 7.00 Our pick
1 – 1 Draw 9% @ 7.50
3 – 0 Atletico-MG win 7% @ 10.00

Final score: 1 – 0 – in our list ✓. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Atletico-MG62%
Draw18%
Coritiba20%

Odds (1X2)

11.53
X3.90
25.50

Atletico-MG vs Coritiba preview and result

Atletico-MG and Coritiba met in the Serie A on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 22:30 (Nigerian time). The match finished 1 - 0, 0 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Atletico-MG a 62% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Coritiba 20%. Our pick was Atletico-MG to win with 70% confidence at odds of 1.53. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Atletico-MG or Coritiba) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.22.

Goals: we expect about 2.7 goals (1.7 for Atletico-MG, 1.0 for Coritiba). The chance of three or more goals is 51%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence). 1 goal was scored.

Form and head to head

Atletico-MG have 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-L-L-D), scoring 3 and conceding 8. Coritiba have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-L-L-W-L), scoring 3 and conceding 4. In their last 10 meetings, Atletico-MG won 13, Coritiba won 7 and 2 ended level. In the table, Atletico-MG are 7th with 50 points and Coritiba are 12th with 42 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Atletico-MG vs Coritiba?

Our pre-match prediction is Atletico-MG to win (70% confidence) at odds of 1.53. Win chances: Atletico-MG 62%, draw 18%, Coritiba 20%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Atletico-MG vs Coritiba?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 51%).

What time is Atletico-MG vs Coritiba?

Atletico-MG vs Coritiba (Serie A) was played on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 22:30 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Atletico-MG vs Coritiba?

The double chance 12 (Atletico-MG or Coritiba) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.22. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Serie A table

Atletico-MG7th50 pts
Coritiba12th42 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Flamengo 342374 4276
2 Palmeiras 3421103 3973
3 Cruzeiro 3418610 760
4 Fluminense 341699 1357
5 Atletico Paranaense 3415910 854
6 Bahia 3414119 553
7 Atletico-MG 3414812 450
8 RB Bragantino 3413813 547
9 Santos 34121111 147
10 Sao Paulo 3412814 044
11 Botafogo 3411914 -742
12 Coritiba 3411914 -1142
13 Vasco DA Gama 3311814 -741
14 Mirassol 34101014 -940
15 Vitoria 3410816 -1638
16 Internacional 3491114 -438
17 Corinthians 3491015 -637
18 Gremio 3491015 -937
19 Remo 3461117 -2029
20 Chapecoense-sc 334920 -3521