Bahia vs Flamengo Prediction

Serie A · Sun 18 Oct 2026
Brazil flag Brazil : Serie A
BahiaLWLDW
0 - 3
Full time · HT 0 - 0
FlamengoWDWWW
Kick-offSun 18 Oct, 22:30
Our tip2 @ 2.15 ✓
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence60%

Full-time report

Our tip2 ✓
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSYes ✗
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✓

Goals & cards

3'Erick Pulgar
Cristian Olivera41'
48'Léo Pereira
Jean Lucas51'
64'⚽Jorginho (pen)
73'⚽G. PlataAssist: Samuel Lino
78'⚽Lucas PaquetaAssist: G. Varela
Marco Moreno86'
Román Gómez89'

Match stats

BahiaFlamengo
37%Possession63%
0.95Expected goals (xG)2.87
9Shots21
3Shots on target15
4Corners14
12Fouls9
1Offsides3
4Yellow cards2
11Saves3
82%Pass accuracy89%
Line-ups
Bahia5-3-2
  1. 1Ronaldo StradaG
  2. 99C. OliveraD
  3. 44Marcos VictorD
  4. 33David DuarteD
  5. 3M. MorenoD
  6. 46Luciano JubaD
  7. 6Jean LucasM
  8. 5Nicolas AcevedoM
  9. 11RodrigoM
  10. 16Erick PulgaF
  11. 9A. VelizF

Coach: Ceni Rogerio

Flamengo4-2-3-1
  1. 1A. RossiG
  2. 2G. VarelaD
  3. 3Leo OrtizD
  4. 4Leo PereiraD
  5. 22Emerson RoyalD
  6. 21JorginhoM
  7. 5E. PulgarM
  8. 19G. PlataM
  9. 15J. CarrascalM
  10. 16Samuel LinoM
  11. 9PedroF

Coach: Leonardo Jardim

Referee: Wilton Pereira Sampaio, Brazil · Venue: Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
BahiaLWLDW
29 Oct 26HSao Paulo3 - 2Serie A
25 Oct 26ASantos1 - 1Serie A
18 Oct 26HFlamengo0 - 3Serie A
11 Oct 26HMirassol1 - 0Serie A
09 Oct 26APalmeiras0 - 1Serie A
FlamengoWDWWW
04 Nov 26HGremio3 - 1Serie A
29 Oct 26AVasco DA Gama4 - 1Serie A
26 Oct 26HAtletico-MG3 - 2Serie A
23 Oct 26HEstudiantes L.P.0 - 0CONMEBOL Libertadores
18 Oct 26ABahia3 - 0Serie A

Head to head

Full head to head: Bahia vs Flamengo →

Our prediction

Flamengo to win

@ 2.15
Double chance
12  •  Bahia or Flamengo
@ 1.29
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.55
Confidence
60%

Our record

Our tips on Bahialast 20 tipped matches
12/2060%
Our tips on Flamengolast 20 tipped matches
14/2070%
Our tips in Serie Alast 30 days
25/4063%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 51%Under 2.5: 49%
Expected goals
1.28Bahia
2.72Total
1.44Flamengo

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 10% @ 6.50
1 – 2 Flamengo win 8% @ 8.50 Our pick
0 – 1 Flamengo win 7% @ 9.50
2 – 1 Bahia win 7% @ 10.00
1 – 0 Bahia win 6% @ 11.00

Final score: 0 – 3 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Bahia30%
Draw17%
Flamengo53%

Odds (1X2)

12.90
X3.40
22.15

Bahia vs Flamengo preview and result

Bahia and Flamengo met in the Serie A on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 22:30 (Nigerian time). The match finished 0 - 3, 0 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Bahia a 30% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Flamengo 53%. Our pick was Flamengo to win with 60% confidence at odds of 2.15. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Bahia or Flamengo) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.29.

Goals: we expect about 2.7 goals (1.3 for Bahia, 1.4 for Flamengo). The chance of three or more goals is 51%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence). 3 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Bahia have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-W-L-D-W), scoring 5 and conceding 7. Flamengo have 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-D-W-W-W), scoring 13 and conceding 4. In the table, Bahia are 6th with 53 points and Flamengo are 1st with 76 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Bahia vs Flamengo?

Our pre-match prediction is Flamengo to win (60% confidence) at odds of 2.15. Win chances: Bahia 30%, draw 17%, Flamengo 53%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Bahia vs Flamengo?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 51%).

What time is Bahia vs Flamengo?

Bahia vs Flamengo (Serie A) was played on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 22:30 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Bahia vs Flamengo?

The double chance 12 (Bahia or Flamengo) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.29. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Serie A table

Bahia6th53 pts
Flamengo1st76 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Flamengo 342374 4276
2 Palmeiras 3421103 3973
3 Cruzeiro 3418610 760
4 Fluminense 341699 1357
5 Atletico Paranaense 3415910 854
6 Bahia 3414119 553
7 Atletico-MG 3414812 450
8 RB Bragantino 3413813 547
9 Santos 34121111 147
10 Sao Paulo 3412814 044
11 Botafogo 3411914 -742
12 Coritiba 3411914 -1142
13 Vasco DA Gama 3311814 -741
14 Mirassol 34101014 -940
15 Vitoria 3410816 -1638
16 Internacional 3491114 -438
17 Corinthians 3491015 -637
18 Gremio 3491015 -937
19 Remo 3461117 -2029
20 Chapecoense-sc 334920 -3521