Belgium vs Italy Prediction

UEFA Nations League · Sun 15 Nov 2026
Europe : UEFA Nations League
Belgium
20:45
Sun 15 Nov, 20:45
Italy
Kick-offSun 15 Nov, 20:45
Our tip2 @ 2.78
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away

Head to head

Full head to head: Belgium vs Italy →

Our prediction

Italy to win

@ 2.78
Double chance
12  •  Belgium or Italy
@ 1.18
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.53
Confidence
55%

Who will win?

Tap your pick – see what other fans think.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
85%
Over 2.5: 58%Under 2.5: 42%
Expected goals
1.29Belgium
3.00Total
1.71Italy

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 9% @ 6.93
2 – 1 Belgium win 7% @ 8.65
0 – 0 Draw 7% @ 8.80
1 – 0 Belgium win 7% @ 9.70
1 – 2 Italy win 6% @ 9.90 Our pick

Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Belgium41%
Draw16%
Italy43%

Odds (1X2)

12.18
X3.76
22.78

Belgium vs Italy preview

Belgium host Italy in the UEFA Nations League (Europe) on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 20:45 Nigerian time. Here is our prediction, the odds, both teams' recent form and their head-to-head record.

Our model gives Belgium a 41% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Italy 43%. That makes our pick Italy to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.78. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Belgium or Italy) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.18.

Goals: we expect about 3.0 goals (1.3 for Belgium, 1.7 for Italy). The chance of three or more goals is 58%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (85% confidence).

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Belgium vs Italy?

Our prediction is Italy to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.78. Win chances: Belgium 41%, draw 16%, Italy 43%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Belgium vs Italy?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 85% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 58%).

What time is Belgium vs Italy?

Belgium vs Italy (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 20:45 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Belgium vs Italy?

The double chance 12 (Belgium or Italy) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.18. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.