Caerau (Ely) vs Newport City Prediction

FAW Championship · Fri 20 Nov 2026
Wales flag Wales : FAW Championship
Caerau (Ely)WLWLW
20:45
Fri 20 Nov, 20:45
Newport CityWDWDL
Kick-offFri 20 Nov, 20:45
Our tip2
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Caerau (Ely)WLWLW
14 Nov 26HBrickfield Rangers1 - 0Welsh Cup
06 Nov 26HPontypridd Town1 - 3FAW Championship
30 Oct 26ACaerphilly Athletic1 - 0FAW Championship
23 Oct 26HLlantwit Major0 - 2FAW Championship
16 Oct 26Hllanelli AFC6 - 0Welsh Cup
Newport CityWDWDL
14 Nov 26ALlangennech0 - 1Welsh Cup
06 Nov 26HTreowen Stars2 - 2FAW Championship
31 Oct 26ALlantwit Major3 - 2FAW Championship
23 Oct 26HPontypridd Town4 - 4FAW Championship
17 Oct 26ACarmarthen Town5 - 4Welsh Cup

Head to head

Full head to head: Caerau (Ely) vs Newport City →

Our prediction

Newport City to win

Double chance
12  •  Caerau (Ely) or Newport City
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on Caerau (Ely)last 20 tipped matches
10/2050%
Our tips on Newport Citylast 20 tipped matches
7/2035%
Our tips in FAW Championshiplast 30 days
23/4551%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Tap your pick – see what other fans think.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
90%
Over 2.5: 69%Under 2.5: 31%
Expected goals
1.03Caerau (Ely)
3.54Total
2.51Newport City

Possible correct scores

1 – 2 Newport City win 9%
0 – 2 Newport City win 9%
1 – 3 Newport City win 8%
0 – 3 Newport City win 8% Our pick
1 – 1 Draw 8%

Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Caerau (Ely)40%
Draw11%
Newport City49%

Caerau (Ely) vs Newport City preview

Caerau (Ely) host Newport City in the FAW Championship (Wales) on Friday 20 November 2026 at 20:45 Nigerian time. Here is our prediction, the odds, both teams' recent form and their head-to-head record.

Our model gives Caerau (Ely) a 40% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Newport City 49%. That makes our pick Newport City to win with 55% confidence. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Caerau (Ely) or Newport City) covers two of the three results.

Goals: we expect about 3.5 goals (1.0 for Caerau (Ely), 2.5 for Newport City). The chance of three or more goals is 69%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (90% confidence).

Form and head to head

Caerau (Ely) have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-L-W-L-W), scoring 9 and conceding 5. Newport City have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (W-D-W-D-L), scoring 14 and conceding 13.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Caerau (Ely) vs Newport City?

Our prediction is Newport City to win (55% confidence). Win chances: Caerau (Ely) 40%, draw 11%, Newport City 49%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Caerau (Ely) vs Newport City?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 90% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 69%).

What time is Caerau (Ely) vs Newport City?

Caerau (Ely) vs Newport City (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 20 November 2026 at 20:45 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Caerau (Ely) vs Newport City?

The double chance 12 (Caerau (Ely) or Newport City) covers two outcomes. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.