Cerro Largo vs Progreso Prediction

Primera División Apertura · Fri 13 Nov 2026
Uruguay flag Uruguay : Primera División Apertura
Cerro Largo
00:00
Fri 13 Nov, 00:00
Progreso
Kick-offFri 13 Nov, 00:00
Our tip1 @ 1.90
GoalsUnder 2.5
Confidence75%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away

Head to head

Cerro Largo 12 · Draws 5 · Progreso 3 (20 meetings, last 10 below)

03 May 26Progreso0 - 1Cerro LargoPrimera División
09 Aug 25Progreso1 - 2Cerro LargoPrimera División - Clausura
07 Feb 25Cerro Largo4 - 1ProgresoPrimera División - Apertura
30 Nov 24Cerro Largo2 - 1ProgresoPrimera División - Clausura
04 Jun 24Progreso0 - 1Cerro LargoPrimera División - Apertura
17 Oct 21Cerro Largo1 - 0ProgresoPrimera División - Clausura
19 Jun 21Progreso0 - 0Cerro LargoPrimera División - Apertura
14 Mar 21Progreso1 - 0Cerro LargoPrimera División - Clausura
12 Sep 20Progreso1 - 2Cerro LargoPrimera División - Apertura
21 Nov 19Progreso0 - 1Cerro LargoPrimera División - Clausura

Full head to head: Cerro Largo vs Progreso →

Our prediction

Cerro Largo to win

@ 1.90
Double chance
1X  •  Cerro Largo or Draw
@ 1.25
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.80
Confidence
75%

Our record

Our tips in Primera División Aperturalast 30 days
13/2748%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Tap your pick – see what other fans think.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 38%Under 2.5: 62%
Expected goals
0.99Cerro Largo
2.20Total
1.21Progreso

Possible correct scores

1 – 0 Cerro Largo win 11% @ 6.50 Our pick
1 – 1 Draw 11% @ 6.50
2 – 0 Cerro Largo win 9% @ 8.50
2 – 1 Cerro Largo win 8% @ 9.00
0 – 0 Draw 8% @ 9.00

Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Cerro Largo65%
Draw25%
Progreso10%

Odds (1X2)

11.90
X3.25
23.70

Opening odds tracked every hour · dropping odds · rising odds

Cerro Largo vs Progreso preview

Cerro Largo host Progreso in the Primera División Apertura (Uruguay) on Friday 13 November 2026 at 00:00 Nigerian time. Here is our prediction, the odds, both teams' recent form and their head-to-head record.

Our model gives Cerro Largo a 65% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Progreso 10%. That makes our pick Cerro Largo to win with 75% confidence at odds of 1.90. For a safer option, the double chance 1X (Cerro Largo or Draw) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.25.

Goals: we expect about 2.2 goals (1.0 for Cerro Largo, 1.2 for Progreso). The chance of three or more goals is 38%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (75% confidence).

Form and head to head

In their last 10 meetings, Cerro Largo won 12, Progreso won 3 and 5 ended level.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Cerro Largo vs Progreso?

Our prediction is Cerro Largo to win (75% confidence) at odds of 1.90. Win chances: Cerro Largo 65%, draw 25%, Progreso 10%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Cerro Largo vs Progreso?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 38%).

What time is Cerro Largo vs Progreso?

Cerro Largo vs Progreso (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 00:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Cerro Largo vs Progreso?

The double chance 1X (Cerro Largo or Draw) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.25. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.