Defensor Sporting vs Penarol Prediction

Primera División Apertura · Mon 16 Nov 2026
Uruguay flag Uruguay : Primera División Apertura
Defensor SportingLLLDW
00:00
Mon 16 Nov, 00:00
Penarol
Kick-offMon 16 Nov, 00:00
Our tip2 @ 1.60
GoalsUnder 2.5
Confidence75%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Defensor SportingLLLDW
01 Nov 26AProgreso2 - 0Primera División Apertura
23 Oct 26HRacing Montevideo3 - 3Primera División Apertura
17 Oct 26ABoston River0 - 1Primera División Apertura
10 Oct 26HCerro2 - 3Primera División Apertura
03 Oct 26AAlbion FC2 - 3Primera División Apertura
Penarol

No matches found.

Head to head

Full head to head: Defensor Sporting vs Penarol →

Our prediction

Penarol to win

@ 1.60
Double chance
12  •  Defensor Sporting or Penarol
@ 1.25
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.83
Confidence
75%

Our record

Our tips on Defensor Sportinglast 20 tipped matches
6/2030%
Our tips in Primera División Aperturalast 30 days
13/3043%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Tap your pick – see what other fans think.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 41%Under 2.5: 59%
Expected goals
1.73Defensor Sporting
2.31Total
0.58Penarol

Possible correct scores

0 – 1 Penarol win 10% @ 7.00 Our pick
1 – 1 Draw 10% @ 7.50
0 – 2 Penarol win 10% @ 7.50
1 – 2 Penarol win 9% @ 8.50
0 – 0 Draw 7% @ 11.00

Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Defensor Sporting17%
Draw16%
Penarol67%

Odds (1X2)

14.75
X3.60
21.60

Defensor Sporting vs Penarol preview

Defensor Sporting host Penarol in the Primera División Apertura (Uruguay) on Monday 16 November 2026 at 00:00 Nigerian time. Here is our prediction, the odds, both teams' recent form and their head-to-head record.

Our model gives Defensor Sporting a 17% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Penarol 67%. That makes our pick Penarol to win with 75% confidence at odds of 1.60. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Defensor Sporting or Penarol) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.25.

Goals: we expect about 2.3 goals (1.7 for Defensor Sporting, 0.6 for Penarol). The chance of three or more goals is 41%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (75% confidence).

Form and head to head

Defensor Sporting have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-L-D-W), scoring 9 and conceding 10.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Defensor Sporting vs Penarol?

Our prediction is Penarol to win (75% confidence) at odds of 1.60. Win chances: Defensor Sporting 17%, draw 16%, Penarol 67%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Defensor Sporting vs Penarol?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 41%).

What time is Defensor Sporting vs Penarol?

Defensor Sporting vs Penarol (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Monday 16 November 2026 at 00:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Defensor Sporting vs Penarol?

The double chance 12 (Defensor Sporting or Penarol) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.25. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.