Cerro vs Progreso Prediction

Primera División Apertura · Sat 14 Mar 2026

Uruguay : Primera División Apertura

Cerro

0 - 0

14'

Progreso

Kick-offSat 14 Mar, 14:00

Our tip2 @ 3.00

GoalsUnder 2.5

Confidence55%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away

Head to head

Full head to head: Cerro vs Progreso →

Our prediction

Progreso to win

@ 3.00

Double chance

12 • Cerro or Progreso

@ 1.36

Both teams to score

No – at least one team fails to score

@ 1.73

Confidence

55%

Our record

Our tips in Primera División Aperturalast 30 days

12/2646%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5

Under 2.5

Confidence

75%

Over 2.5: 40%Under 2.5: 60%

Expected goals

0.76Cerro

2.30Total

1.54Progreso

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 12% @ 5.50

1 – 0 Cerro win 10% @ 6.50

0 – 0 Draw 10% @ 6.50

0 – 1 Progreso win 9% @ 7.00 Our pick

2 – 1 Cerro win 7% @ 9.50

Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Cerro40%

Draw19%

Progreso41%

Odds (1X2)

12.45

X2.88

23.00

Cerro vs Progreso preview

Cerro v Progreso in the Primera División Apertura is under way – the score is 0 - 0 (14').

Our model gives Cerro a 40% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Progreso 41%. That makes our pick Progreso to win with 55% confidence at odds of 3.00. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Cerro or Progreso) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.36.

Goals: we expect about 2.3 goals (0.8 for Cerro, 1.5 for Progreso). The chance of three or more goals is 40%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (75% confidence).

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Cerro vs Progreso?

Our prediction is Progreso to win (55% confidence) at odds of 3.00. Win chances: Cerro 40%, draw 19%, Progreso 41%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Cerro vs Progreso?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 40%).

What time is Cerro vs Progreso?

Cerro vs Progreso (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 14:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Cerro vs Progreso?

The double chance 12 (Cerro or Progreso) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.36. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

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