Deportivo Maldonado vs Defensor Sporting Prediction

Primera División Apertura · Sun 15 Mar 2026
Uruguay flag Uruguay : Primera División Apertura
0 - 0
72' · HT 0 - 0
Defensor SportingLLLDW
Kick-offSun 15 Mar, 21:00
Our tip1 @ 2.40
GoalsUnder 2.5
Confidence55%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Deportivo Maldonado

No matches found.

Defensor SportingLLLDW
01 Nov 26AProgreso2 - 0Primera División Apertura
23 Oct 26HRacing Montevideo3 - 3Primera División Apertura
17 Oct 26ABoston River0 - 1Primera División Apertura
10 Oct 26HCerro2 - 3Primera División Apertura
03 Oct 26AAlbion FC2 - 3Primera División Apertura

Head to head

Full head to head: Deportivo Maldonado vs Defensor Sporting →

Our prediction

Deportivo Maldonado to win

@ 2.40
Double chance
12  •  Deportivo Maldonado or Defensor Sporting
@ 1.36
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.83
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on Defensor Sportinglast 20 tipped matches
7/2035%
Our tips in Primera División Aperturalast 30 days
10/2442%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Confidence
80%
Over 2.5: 35%Under 2.5: 65%
Expected goals
1.45Deportivo Maldonado
2.10Total
0.65Defensor Sporting

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 11% @ 5.80
1 – 0 Deportivo Maldonado win 10% @ 6.50 Our pick
0 – 0 Draw 9% @ 7.00
0 – 1 Defensor Sporting win 8% @ 8.00
2 – 1 Deportivo Maldonado win 7% @ 9.00

Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Deportivo Maldonado45%
Draw19%
Defensor Sporting36%

Odds (1X2)

12.40
X2.90
23.00

Deportivo Maldonado vs Defensor Sporting preview

Deportivo Maldonado v Defensor Sporting in the Primera División Apertura is under way – the score is 0 - 0 (72').

Our model gives Deportivo Maldonado a 45% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Defensor Sporting 36%. That makes our pick Deportivo Maldonado to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.40. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Deportivo Maldonado or Defensor Sporting) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.36.

Goals: we expect about 2.1 goals (1.5 for Deportivo Maldonado, 0.7 for Defensor Sporting). The chance of three or more goals is 35%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (80% confidence).

Form and head to head

Defensor Sporting have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-L-D-W), scoring 9 and conceding 10.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Deportivo Maldonado vs Defensor Sporting?

Our prediction is Deportivo Maldonado to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.40. Win chances: Deportivo Maldonado 45%, draw 19%, Defensor Sporting 36%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Deportivo Maldonado vs Defensor Sporting?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 80% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 35%).

What time is Deportivo Maldonado vs Defensor Sporting?

Deportivo Maldonado vs Defensor Sporting (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 21:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Deportivo Maldonado vs Defensor Sporting?

The double chance 12 (Deportivo Maldonado or Defensor Sporting) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.36. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.