Chelsea vs Leeds Prediction

FA Cup · Sun 26 Apr 2026
England flag England : FA Cup
ChelseaWLDWL
1 - 0
64' · HT 1 - 0
LeedsLDDLW
Kick-offSun 26 Apr, 15:00
Our tip1 @ 1.98
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
ChelseaWLDWL
08 Nov 26ASunderland0 - 1Premier League
31 Oct 26HManchester United2 - 0Premier League
28 Oct 26ALiverpool1 - 1League Cup
24 Oct 26HTottenham0 - 2Premier League
17 Oct 26AEverton2 - 0Premier League
LeedsLDDLW
07 Nov 26HTottenham1 - 0Premier League
31 Oct 26ABournemouth0 - 2Premier League
25 Oct 26ASunderland0 - 0Premier League
18 Oct 26HManchester United1 - 1Premier League
10 Oct 26AArsenal1 - 2Premier League

Head to head

Chelsea 8 · Draws 2 · Leeds 2 (12 meetings, last 10 below)

09 Sep 26Chelsea6 - 3LeedsLeague Cup
26 Apr 26Chelsea1 - 0LeedsFA Cup
10 Feb 26Chelsea2 - 2LeedsPremier League
03 Dec 25Leeds3 - 1ChelseaPremier League
28 Feb 24Chelsea3 - 2LeedsFA Cup
04 Mar 23Chelsea1 - 0LeedsPremier League
21 Aug 22Leeds3 - 0ChelseaPremier League
11 May 22Leeds0 - 3ChelseaPremier League
11 Dec 21Chelsea3 - 2LeedsPremier League
13 Mar 21Leeds0 - 0ChelseaPremier League

Full head to head: Chelsea vs Leeds →

Our prediction

Chelsea to win

@ 1.98
Double chance
12  •  Chelsea or Leeds
@ 1.22
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.73
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on Chelsealast 20 tipped matches
12/2060%
Our tips in FA Cuplast 30 days
34/7247%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
95%
Over 2.5: 85%Under 2.5: 15%
Expected goals
3.09Chelsea
4.75Total
1.66Leeds

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 10% @ 6.00
1 – 0 Chelsea win 10% @ 6.50
2 – 1 Chelsea win 9% @ 7.00 Our pick
2 – 0 Chelsea win 7% @ 8.50
0 – 1 Leeds win 7% @ 9.00

Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Chelsea47%
Draw17%
Leeds36%

Odds (1X2)

11.98
X3.55
23.50

Chelsea vs Leeds preview

Chelsea v Leeds in the FA Cup is under way – the score is 1 - 0 (64').

Our model gives Chelsea a 47% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Leeds 36%. That makes our pick Chelsea to win with 55% confidence at odds of 1.98. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Chelsea or Leeds) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.22.

Goals: we expect about 4.8 goals (3.1 for Chelsea, 1.7 for Leeds). The chance of three or more goals is 85%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (95% confidence).

Form and head to head

Chelsea have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-L-D-W-L), scoring 5 and conceding 4. Leeds have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-D-D-L-W), scoring 3 and conceding 5. In their last 10 meetings, Chelsea won 8, Leeds won 2 and 2 ended level.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Chelsea vs Leeds?

Our prediction is Chelsea to win (55% confidence) at odds of 1.98. Win chances: Chelsea 47%, draw 17%, Leeds 36%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Chelsea vs Leeds?

We expect about 4.8 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 95% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 85%).

What time is Chelsea vs Leeds?

Chelsea vs Leeds (FA Cup) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 15:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Chelsea vs Leeds?

The double chance 12 (Chelsea or Leeds) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.22. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.