Manchester City vs Southampton Prediction

FA Cup · Sat 25 Apr 2026
England flag England : FA Cup
Manchester CityWLDLW
17:15
⏳ Result pending · Sat 25 Apr
SouthamptonDWWDL
Kick-offSat 25 Apr, 17:15
Our tip1 @ 1.21
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence75%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Manchester CityWLDLW
04 Nov 26ARB Leipzig3 - 2UEFA Champions League
31 Oct 26HBrighton0 - 1Premier League
28 Oct 26HBrighton2 - 2League Cup
24 Oct 26AAston Villa1 - 2Premier League
20 Oct 26HAEK Athens FC5 - 1UEFA Champions League
SouthamptonDWWDL
07 Nov 26APreston0 - 1Championship
03 Nov 26AWest Brom1 - 1Championship
31 Oct 26HQPR4 - 1Championship
24 Oct 26AWest Ham3 - 2Championship
17 Oct 26HBolton0 - 0Championship

Head to head

Full head to head: Manchester City vs Southampton →

Our prediction

Manchester City to win

@ 1.21
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.85
Confidence
75%

Our record

Our tips on Manchester Citylast 20 tipped matches
12/2060%
Our tips on Southamptonlast 20 tipped matches
12/2060%
Our tips in FA Cuplast 30 days
34/7247%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
95%
Over 2.5: 78%Under 2.5: 22%
Expected goals
2.89Manchester City
4.13Total
1.24Southampton

Possible correct scores

2 – 0 Manchester City win 10% @ 6.00
3 – 0 Manchester City win 10% @ 6.50 Our pick
1 – 0 Manchester City win 8% @ 7.50
2 – 1 Manchester City win 8% @ 8.00
3 – 1 Manchester City win 8% @ 8.00

Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Manchester City65%
Draw19%
Southampton16%

Odds (1X2)

11.21
X6.50
210.75

Manchester City vs Southampton preview

Manchester City host Southampton in the FA Cup (England) on Saturday 25 April 2026 at 17:15 Nigerian time. Here is our prediction, the odds, both teams' recent form and their head-to-head record.

Our model gives Manchester City a 65% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Southampton 16%. That makes our pick Manchester City to win with 75% confidence at odds of 1.21.

Goals: we expect about 4.1 goals (2.9 for Manchester City, 1.2 for Southampton). The chance of three or more goals is 78%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (95% confidence).

Form and head to head

Manchester City have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-L-D-L-W), scoring 11 and conceding 8. Southampton have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (D-W-W-D-L), scoring 8 and conceding 5.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Manchester City vs Southampton?

Our prediction is Manchester City to win (75% confidence) at odds of 1.21. Win chances: Manchester City 65%, draw 19%, Southampton 16%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Manchester City vs Southampton?

We expect about 4.1 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 95% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 78%).

What time is Manchester City vs Southampton?

Manchester City vs Southampton (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 25 April 2026 at 17:15 Nigerian time (WAT).

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.