Chernihiv vs Yarud Mariupol' Prediction

Persha Liga · Sat 21 Mar 2026
Ukraine flag Ukraine : Persha Liga
ChernihivWWLLW
1 - 4
Full time · HT 1 - 2
Yarud Mariupol'WWWLD
Kick-offSat 21 Mar, 10:00
Our tip1 ✗
GoalsUnder 2.5
Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✗
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSNo ✗
Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
ChernihivWWLLW
01 Nov 26HYarud Mariupol'3 - 1Persha Liga
29 Oct 26HEpitsentr Dunayivtsi1 - 2Cup
17 Oct 26AViktoriya Mykolaivka1 - 2Persha Liga
11 Oct 26APrykarpattia1 - 0Persha Liga
06 Oct 26ATrostianets4 - 2Cup
Yarud Mariupol'WWWLD
07 Nov 26APrykarpattia1 - 1Persha Liga
01 Nov 26AChernihiv1 - 3Persha Liga
23 Oct 26AMetal Kharkiv2 - 0Persha Liga
17 Oct 26HInhulets4 - 1Persha Liga
11 Oct 26AUCSA2 - 1Persha Liga

Head to head

Chernihiv 1 · Draws 0 · Yarud Mariupol' 1 (2 meetings)

01 Nov 26Chernihiv3 - 1Yarud Mariupol'Persha Liga
21 Mar 26Chernihiv1 - 4Yarud Mariupol'Persha Liga

Full head to head: Chernihiv vs Yarud Mariupol' →

Our prediction

Chernihiv to win

Double chance
12  •  Chernihiv or Yarud Mariupol'
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on Chernihivlast 20 tipped matches
10/2050%
Our tips on Yarud Mariupol'last 20 tipped matches
8/2040%
Our tips in Persha Ligalast 30 days
14/3145%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Confidence
85%
Over 2.5: 32%Under 2.5: 68%
Expected goals
1.08Chernihiv
1.97Total
0.89Yarud Mariupol'

Possible correct scores

1 – 0 Chernihiv win 15% Our pick
0 – 0 Draw 14%
1 – 1 Draw 13%
0 – 1 Yarud Mariupol' win 12%
2 – 0 Chernihiv win 8%

Final score: 1 – 4 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Chernihiv45%
Draw11%
Yarud Mariupol'44%

Chernihiv vs Yarud Mariupol' preview and result

Chernihiv and Yarud Mariupol' met in the Persha Liga on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 10:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 1 - 4, 1 - 2 at half time.

Our model gives Chernihiv a 45% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Yarud Mariupol' 44%. Our pick was Chernihiv to win with 55% confidence. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Chernihiv or Yarud Mariupol') covers two of the three results.

Goals: we expect about 2.0 goals (1.1 for Chernihiv, 0.9 for Yarud Mariupol'). The chance of three or more goals is 32%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (85% confidence). 5 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Chernihiv have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-W-L-L-W), scoring 10 and conceding 7. Yarud Mariupol' have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (W-W-W-L-D), scoring 10 and conceding 6. In their last 2 meetings, Chernihiv won 1, Yarud Mariupol' won 1 and 0 ended level.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Chernihiv vs Yarud Mariupol'?

Our pre-match prediction is Chernihiv to win (55% confidence). Win chances: Chernihiv 45%, draw 11%, Yarud Mariupol' 44%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Chernihiv vs Yarud Mariupol'?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 85% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 32%).

What time is Chernihiv vs Yarud Mariupol'?

Chernihiv vs Yarud Mariupol' (Persha Liga) was played on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 10:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Chernihiv vs Yarud Mariupol'?

The double chance 12 (Chernihiv or Yarud Mariupol') covers two outcomes. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.