Chernomorets vs Rodina Moskva Prediction

First League · Sat 2 May 2026
Russia flag Russia : First League
Chernomorets
0 - 2
39'
Kick-offSat 2 May, 14:00
Our tip2 @ 1.71
GoalsUnder 2.5
Confidence70%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away

Head to head

Chernomorets 1 · Draws 4 · Rodina Moskva 3 (8 meetings)

02 May 26Chernomorets1 - 3Rodina MoskvaFirst League
20 Feb 26Rodina Moskva0 - 0ChernomoretsFriendlies Clubs
21 Jul 25Rodina Moskva1 - 1ChernomoretsFirst League
17 Nov 24Rodina Moskva0 - 1ChernomoretsFirst League
01 Sep 24Chernomorets2 - 2Rodina MoskvaFirst League
12 Nov 23Rodina Moskva4 - 0ChernomoretsFirst League
01 Nov 23Rodina Moskva3 - 0ChernomoretsCup
23 Jul 23Chernomorets0 - 0Rodina MoskvaFirst League

Full head to head: Chernomorets vs Rodina Moskva →

Our prediction

Rodina Moskva to win

@ 1.71
Double chance
X2  •  Draw or Rodina Moskva
@ 1.15
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.75
Confidence
70%

Our record

Our tips in First Leaguelast 30 days
22/3759%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 44%Under 2.5: 56%
Expected goals
0.54Chernomorets
2.45Total
1.91Rodina Moskva

Possible correct scores

0 – 1 Rodina Moskva win 14% @ 5.55 Our pick
1 – 1 Draw 12% @ 6.15
0 – 2 Rodina Moskva win 11% @ 7.20
1 – 2 Rodina Moskva win 10% @ 7.80
0 – 0 Draw 9% @ 8.90

Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Chernomorets14%
Draw22%
Rodina Moskva64%

Odds (1X2)

14.75
X3.54
21.71

Chernomorets vs Rodina Moskva preview

Chernomorets v Rodina Moskva in the First League is under way – the score is 0 - 2 (39').

Our model gives Chernomorets a 14% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Rodina Moskva 64%. That makes our pick Rodina Moskva to win with 70% confidence at odds of 1.71. For a safer option, the double chance X2 (Draw or Rodina Moskva) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.15.

Goals: we expect about 2.5 goals (0.5 for Chernomorets, 1.9 for Rodina Moskva). The chance of three or more goals is 44%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (75% confidence).

Form and head to head

In their last 8 meetings, Chernomorets won 1, Rodina Moskva won 3 and 4 ended level.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Chernomorets vs Rodina Moskva?

Our prediction is Rodina Moskva to win (70% confidence) at odds of 1.71. Win chances: Chernomorets 14%, draw 22%, Rodina Moskva 64%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Chernomorets vs Rodina Moskva?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 44%).

What time is Chernomorets vs Rodina Moskva?

Chernomorets vs Rodina Moskva (First League) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 14:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Chernomorets vs Rodina Moskva?

The double chance X2 (Draw or Rodina Moskva) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.15. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.