Ural vs Shinnik Yaroslavl Prediction

First League · Mon 4 May 2026
Russia flag Russia : First League
UralLLWWW
0 - 1
Full time · HT 0 - 1
Shinnik YaroslavlLDWLW
Kick-offMon 4 May, 15:00
Our tip1 @ 1.86 ✗
GoalsUnder 2.5
Confidence85%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✗
Double chance1X ✗
BTTSNo ✓
Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
UralLLWWW
08 Nov 26HVolga Ulyanovsk2 - 0First League
01 Nov 26AFC Sochi2 - 0First League
25 Oct 26AChelyabinsk3 - 1First League
18 Oct 26HNizhny Novgorod1 - 2First League
10 Oct 26HVeles1 - 2First League
Shinnik YaroslavlLDWLW
07 Nov 26HFC UFA2 - 1First League
31 Oct 26AChelyabinsk0 - 2First League
26 Oct 26HSpartak Kostroma2 - 1First League
18 Oct 26AVeles1 - 1First League
14 Oct 26ANizhny Novgorod0 - 4Cup

Head to head

Ural 4 · Draws 1 · Shinnik Yaroslavl 1 (6 meetings)

14 Sep 26Shinnik Yaroslavl1 - 1UralFirst League
04 May 26Ural0 - 1Shinnik YaroslavlFirst League
19 Jul 25Shinnik Yaroslavl0 - 1UralFirst League
10 Nov 24Shinnik Yaroslavl0 - 2UralFirst League
20 Jul 24Ural2 - 1Shinnik YaroslavlFirst League
24 Jun 20Shinnik Yaroslavl0 - 2UralCup

Full head to head: Ural vs Shinnik Yaroslavl →

Our prediction

Ural to win

@ 1.86
Double chance
1X  •  Ural or Draw
@ 1.19
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.73
Confidence
85%

Our record

Our tips on Urallast 20 tipped matches
10/2050%
Our tips on Shinnik Yaroslavllast 20 tipped matches
6/2030%
Our tips in First Leaguelast 30 days
22/3759%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Confidence
80%
Over 2.5: 35%Under 2.5: 65%
Expected goals
1.27Ural
2.11Total
0.84Shinnik Yaroslavl

Possible correct scores

1 – 0 Ural win 14% @ 5.60 Our pick
1 – 1 Draw 13% @ 6.00
0 – 0 Draw 11% @ 7.20
2 – 0 Ural win 10% @ 7.90
2 – 1 Ural win 9% @ 8.30

Final score: 0 – 1 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Ural75%
Draw16%
Shinnik Yaroslavl9%

Odds (1X2)

11.86
X3.34
24.15

Ural vs Shinnik Yaroslavl preview and result

Ural and Shinnik Yaroslavl met in the First League on Monday 4 May 2026 at 15:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 0 - 1, 0 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives Ural a 75% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Shinnik Yaroslavl 9%. Our pick was Ural to win with 85% confidence at odds of 1.86. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 1X (Ural or Draw) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.19.

Goals: we expect about 2.1 goals (1.3 for Ural, 0.8 for Shinnik Yaroslavl). The chance of three or more goals is 35%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (80% confidence). 1 goal was scored.

Form and head to head

Ural have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-W-W-W), scoring 9 and conceding 5. Shinnik Yaroslavl have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-D-W-L-W), scoring 5 and conceding 9. In their last 6 meetings, Ural won 4, Shinnik Yaroslavl won 1 and 1 ended level.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Ural vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?

Our pre-match prediction is Ural to win (85% confidence) at odds of 1.86. Win chances: Ural 75%, draw 16%, Shinnik Yaroslavl 9%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Ural vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 80% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 35%).

What time is Ural vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?

Ural vs Shinnik Yaroslavl (First League) was played on Monday 4 May 2026 at 15:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Ural vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?

The double chance 1X (Ural or Draw) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.19. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.