Corinthians vs Sao Paulo Prediction

Serie A · Sun 10 May 2026
Brazil flag Brazil : Serie A
CorinthiansLDLWD
22:30
⏳ Result pending · Sun 10 May
Sao PauloWWDLD
Kick-offSun 10 May, 22:30
Our tip2 @ 4.10
GoalsUnder 2.5
Confidence55%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
CorinthiansLDLWD
05 Nov 26ASao Paulo0 - 0Serie A
30 Oct 26HMirassol2 - 0Serie A
24 Oct 26AVasco DA Gama2 - 3Serie A
19 Oct 26HVitoria1 - 1Serie A
11 Oct 26APalmeiras1 - 4Serie A
Sao PauloWWDLD
05 Nov 26HCorinthians0 - 0Serie A
29 Oct 26ABahia2 - 3Serie A
24 Oct 26AMirassol1 - 1Serie A
18 Oct 26HVasco DA Gama1 - 0Serie A
11 Oct 26HVitoria2 - 1Serie A

Head to head

Corinthians 12 · Draws 15 · Sao Paulo 15 (42 meetings, last 10 below)

05 Nov 26Sao Paulo0 - 0CorinthiansSerie A
10 May 26Corinthians3 - 2Sao PauloSerie A
18 Jan 26Corinthians1 - 1Sao PauloPaulista - A1
20 Nov 25Corinthians3 - 1Sao PauloSerie A
20 Jul 25Sao Paulo2 - 0CorinthiansSerie A
26 Jan 25Sao Paulo3 - 1CorinthiansPaulista - A1
29 Sep 24Sao Paulo3 - 1CorinthiansSerie A
16 Jun 24Corinthians2 - 2Sao PauloSerie A
30 Jan 24Corinthians1 - 2Sao PauloPaulista - A1
30 Sep 23Sao Paulo2 - 1CorinthiansSerie A

Full head to head: Corinthians vs Sao Paulo →

Our prediction

Sao Paulo to win

@ 4.10
Double chance
12  •  Corinthians or Sao Paulo
@ 1.30
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.70
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on Corinthianslast 20 tipped matches
8/2040%
Our tips on Sao Paulolast 20 tipped matches
10/2050%
Our tips in Serie Alast 30 days
26/4262%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Confidence
85%
Over 2.5: 31%Under 2.5: 69%
Expected goals
0.39Corinthians
1.96Total
1.57Sao Paulo

Possible correct scores

1 – 0 Corinthians win 13% @ 5.00
1 – 1 Draw 12% @ 5.25
0 – 0 Draw 10% @ 6.50
2 – 0 Corinthians win 9% @ 7.00
2 – 1 Corinthians win 9% @ 7.50
0 – 1 Sao Paulo win 9% @ 7.50 Our pick

Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Corinthians40%
Draw19%
Sao Paulo41%

Odds (1X2)

12.00
X3.05
24.10

Corinthians vs Sao Paulo preview

Corinthians host Sao Paulo in the Serie A (Brazil) on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 22:30 Nigerian time. Here is our prediction, the odds, both teams' recent form and their head-to-head record.

Our model gives Corinthians a 40% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Sao Paulo 41%. That makes our pick Sao Paulo to win with 55% confidence at odds of 4.10. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Corinthians or Sao Paulo) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.30.

Goals: we expect about 2.0 goals (0.4 for Corinthians, 1.6 for Sao Paulo). The chance of three or more goals is 31%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (85% confidence).

Form and head to head

Corinthians have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-D-L-W-D), scoring 6 and conceding 8. Sao Paulo have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (W-W-D-L-D), scoring 6 and conceding 5. In their last 10 meetings, Corinthians won 12, Sao Paulo won 15 and 15 ended level. In the table, Corinthians are 17th with 37 points and Sao Paulo are 10th with 44 points.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Corinthians vs Sao Paulo?

Our prediction is Sao Paulo to win (55% confidence) at odds of 4.10. Win chances: Corinthians 40%, draw 19%, Sao Paulo 41%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Corinthians vs Sao Paulo?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 85% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 31%).

What time is Corinthians vs Sao Paulo?

Corinthians vs Sao Paulo (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 22:30 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Corinthians vs Sao Paulo?

The double chance 12 (Corinthians or Sao Paulo) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.30. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Serie A table

Corinthians17th37 pts
Sao Paulo10th44 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Flamengo 342374 4276
2 Palmeiras 3421103 3973
3 Cruzeiro 3418610 760
4 Fluminense 341699 1357
5 Atletico Paranaense 3415910 854
6 Bahia 3414119 553
7 Atletico-MG 3414812 450
8 RB Bragantino 3413813 547
9 Santos 34121111 147
10 Sao Paulo 3412814 044
11 Botafogo 3411914 -742
12 Coritiba 3411914 -1142
13 Vasco DA Gama 3311814 -741
14 Mirassol 34101014 -940
15 Vitoria 3410816 -1638
16 Internacional 3491114 -438
17 Corinthians 3491015 -637
18 Gremio 3491015 -937
19 Remo 3461117 -2029
20 Chapecoense-sc 334920 -3521