Vasco DA Gama vs Atletico Paranaense Prediction

Serie A · Mon 11 May 2026
Brazil flag Brazil : Serie A
Vasco DA GamaLWLLW
1 - 0
Full time · HT 1 - 0
Atletico ParanaenseWLDLL
Kick-offMon 11 May, 00:30
Our tip1 @ 1.92 ✓
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence75%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✓
Double chance1X ✓
BTTSNo ✓
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Vasco DA GamaLWLLW
04 Nov 26AAtletico Paranaense3 - 1Serie A
01 Nov 26APalmeiras0 - 1Copa Do Brasil
29 Oct 26HFlamengo1 - 4Serie A
24 Oct 26HCorinthians3 - 2Serie A
21 Oct 26HBoca Juniors1 - 3CONMEBOL Sudamericana
Atletico ParanaenseWLDLL
04 Nov 26HVasco DA Gama1 - 3Serie A
30 Oct 26AGremio0 - 2Serie A
24 Oct 26AVitoria1 - 1Serie A
17 Oct 26HPalmeiras0 - 2Serie A
12 Oct 26AChapecoense-sc4 - 1Serie A

Head to head

Vasco DA Gama 8 · Draws 6 · Atletico Paranaense 9 (23 meetings, last 10 below)

04 Nov 26Atletico Paranaense1 - 3Vasco DA GamaSerie A
10 May 26Vasco DA Gama1 - 0Atletico ParanaenseSerie A
12 Sep 24Atletico Paranaense2 - 1Vasco DA GamaCopa Do Brasil
29 Aug 24Vasco DA Gama2 - 1Atletico ParanaenseCopa Do Brasil
27 Aug 24Vasco DA Gama2 - 1Atletico ParanaenseSerie A
05 May 24Atletico Paranaense1 - 0Vasco DA GamaSerie A
25 Nov 23Atletico Paranaense0 - 0Vasco DA GamaSerie A
23 Jul 23Vasco DA Gama0 - 2Atletico ParanaenseSerie A
27 Dec 20Atletico Paranaense3 - 0Vasco DA GamaSerie A
06 Sep 20Vasco DA Gama1 - 0Atletico ParanaenseSerie A

Full head to head: Vasco DA Gama vs Atletico Paranaense →

Our prediction

Vasco DA Gama to win

@ 1.92
Double chance
1X  •  Vasco DA Gama or Draw
@ 1.22
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.83
Confidence
75%

Our record

Our tips on Vasco DA Gamalast 20 tipped matches
10/2050%
Our tips on Atletico Paranaenselast 20 tipped matches
10/2050%
Our tips in Serie Alast 30 days
25/4063%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 51%Under 2.5: 49%
Expected goals
1.36Vasco DA Gama
2.71Total
1.35Atletico Paranaense

Possible correct scores

1 – 0 Vasco DA Gama win 12% @ 5.50 ✓ Final score
1 – 1 Draw 12% @ 5.50
2 – 1 Vasco DA Gama win 9% @ 7.00
2 – 0 Vasco DA Gama win 8% @ 7.50
0 – 0 Draw 8% @ 8.00
3 – 0 Vasco DA Gama win 5% @ 13.00 Our pick

Final score: 1 – 0 – in our list ✓. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Vasco DA Gama65%
Draw21%
Atletico Paranaense14%

Odds (1X2)

11.92
X3.35
23.95

Vasco DA Gama vs Atletico Paranaense preview and result

Vasco DA Gama and Atletico Paranaense met in the Serie A on Monday 11 May 2026 at 00:30 (Nigerian time). The match finished 1 - 0, 1 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Vasco DA Gama a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Atletico Paranaense 14%. Our pick was Vasco DA Gama to win with 75% confidence at odds of 1.92. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 1X (Vasco DA Gama or Draw) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.22.

Goals: we expect about 2.7 goals (1.4 for Vasco DA Gama, 1.4 for Atletico Paranaense). The chance of three or more goals is 51%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence). 1 goal was scored.

Form and head to head

Vasco DA Gama have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-W-L-L-W), scoring 8 and conceding 11. Atletico Paranaense have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-L-D-L-L), scoring 6 and conceding 9. In their last 10 meetings, Vasco DA Gama won 8, Atletico Paranaense won 9 and 6 ended level. In the table, Vasco DA Gama are 13th with 41 points and Atletico Paranaense are 5th with 54 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Vasco DA Gama vs Atletico Paranaense?

Our pre-match prediction is Vasco DA Gama to win (75% confidence) at odds of 1.92. Win chances: Vasco DA Gama 65%, draw 21%, Atletico Paranaense 14%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Vasco DA Gama vs Atletico Paranaense?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 51%).

What time is Vasco DA Gama vs Atletico Paranaense?

Vasco DA Gama vs Atletico Paranaense (Serie A) was played on Monday 11 May 2026 at 00:30 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Vasco DA Gama vs Atletico Paranaense?

The double chance 1X (Vasco DA Gama or Draw) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.22. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Serie A table

Vasco DA Gama13th41 pts
Atletico Paranaense5th54 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Flamengo 342374 4276
2 Palmeiras 3421103 3973
3 Cruzeiro 3418610 760
4 Fluminense 341699 1357
5 Atletico Paranaense 3415910 854
6 Bahia 3414119 553
7 Atletico-MG 3414812 450
8 RB Bragantino 3413813 547
9 Santos 34121111 147
10 Sao Paulo 3412814 044
11 Botafogo 3411914 -742
12 Coritiba 3411914 -1142
13 Vasco DA Gama 3311814 -741
14 Mirassol 34101014 -940
15 Vitoria 3410816 -1638
16 Internacional 3491114 -438
17 Corinthians 3491015 -637
18 Gremio 3491015 -937
19 Remo 3461117 -2029
20 Chapecoense-sc 334920 -3521