Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara Chivas Prediction

Liga MX · Thu 14 May 2026
Mexico flag Mexico : Liga MX
Cruz Azul
2 - 2
Full time · HT 1 - 1
Guadalajara ChivasDDWWW
Kick-offThu 14 May, 03:00
Our tip1 @ 2.18 ✗
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence60%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✗
Double chance12 ✗
BTTSYes ✓
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Cruz Azul

No matches found.

Guadalajara ChivasDDWWW
01 Nov 26HAtlante FC4 - 2Liga MX
25 Oct 26AMonterrey1 - 0Liga MX
21 Oct 26HNecaxa1 - 0Liga MX
17 Oct 26HTigres UANL1 - 1Liga MX
11 Oct 26AAtlas1 - 1Liga MX

Head to head

Full head to head: Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara Chivas →

Our prediction

Cruz Azul to win

@ 2.18
Double chance
12  •  Cruz Azul or Guadalajara Chivas
@ 1.25
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.70
Confidence
60%

Our record

Our tips in Liga MXlast 30 days
24/4652%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
80%
Over 2.5: 56%Under 2.5: 44%
Expected goals
1.64Cruz Azul
2.92Total
1.28Guadalajara Chivas

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 11% @ 5.75
1 – 0 Cruz Azul win 10% @ 6.50
2 – 1 Cruz Azul win 8% @ 7.50 Our pick
0 – 1 Guadalajara Chivas win 7% @ 8.50
0 – 0 Draw 7% @ 9.00

Final score: 2 – 2 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Cruz Azul50%
Draw17%
Guadalajara Chivas33%

Odds (1X2)

12.18
X3.40
23.15

Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara Chivas preview and result

Cruz Azul and Guadalajara Chivas met in the Liga MX on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 03:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 2 - 2, 1 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives Cruz Azul a 50% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Guadalajara Chivas 33%. Our pick was Cruz Azul to win with 60% confidence at odds of 2.18. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Cruz Azul or Guadalajara Chivas) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.25.

Goals: we expect about 2.9 goals (1.6 for Cruz Azul, 1.3 for Guadalajara Chivas). The chance of three or more goals is 56%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (80% confidence). 4 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Guadalajara Chivas have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-D-W-W-W), scoring 8 and conceding 4. In the table, Cruz Azul are 1st with 32 points and Guadalajara Chivas are 3rd with 30 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara Chivas?

Our pre-match prediction is Cruz Azul to win (60% confidence) at odds of 2.18. Win chances: Cruz Azul 50%, draw 17%, Guadalajara Chivas 33%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara Chivas?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 80% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 56%).

What time is Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara Chivas?

Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara Chivas (Liga MX) was played on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 03:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara Chivas?

The double chance 12 (Cruz Azul or Guadalajara Chivas) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.25. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Liga MX table

Cruz Azul1st32 pts
Guadalajara Chivas3rd30 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Cruz Azul 161024 1132
2 Club America 16862 1530
3 Guadalajara Chivas 16862 1130
4 Toluca 16763 1427
5 Atlas 16835 -327
6 Santos Laguna 16817 325
7 Leon 16655 223
8 CF Pachuca 16646 922
9 Club Tijuana 16574 322
10 Monterrey 15636 121
11 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 16565 -221
12 Club Queretaro 15627 -520
13 Puebla 16547 -419
14 Atletico San Luis 16547 -519
15 Tigres UANL 16367 -815
16 Atlante FC 16358 -1014
17 Necaxa 16349 -1113
18 FC Juarez 163211 -2111