Guadalajara Chivas vs Cruz Azul Prediction

Liga MX · Sun 17 May 2026
Mexico flag Mexico : Liga MX
Guadalajara ChivasDDWWW
1 - 2
Full time · HT 1 - 1
Cruz Azul
Kick-offSun 17 May, 02:07
Our tip2 @ 3.10 ✓
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip2 ✓
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSYes ✓
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Guadalajara ChivasDDWWW
01 Nov 26HAtlante FC4 - 2Liga MX
25 Oct 26AMonterrey1 - 0Liga MX
21 Oct 26HNecaxa1 - 0Liga MX
17 Oct 26HTigres UANL1 - 1Liga MX
11 Oct 26AAtlas1 - 1Liga MX
Cruz Azul

No matches found.

Head to head

Full head to head: Guadalajara Chivas vs Cruz Azul →

Our prediction

Cruz Azul to win

@ 3.10
Double chance
12  •  Guadalajara Chivas or Cruz Azul
@ 1.25
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.65
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips in Liga MXlast 30 days
24/4652%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
80%
Over 2.5: 57%Under 2.5: 43%
Expected goals
0.91Guadalajara Chivas
2.95Total
2.04Cruz Azul

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 11% @ 5.75
1 – 0 Guadalajara Chivas win 9% @ 7.00
2 – 1 Guadalajara Chivas win 8% @ 7.50
0 – 1 Cruz Azul win 7% @ 8.50
1 – 2 Cruz Azul win 7% @ 9.00 Our pick ✓ Final score

Final score: 1 – 2 – in our list ✓. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Guadalajara Chivas38%
Draw17%
Cruz Azul45%

Odds (1X2)

12.18
X3.45
23.10

Guadalajara Chivas vs Cruz Azul preview and result

Guadalajara Chivas and Cruz Azul met in the Liga MX on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 02:07 (Nigerian time). The match finished 1 - 2, 1 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives Guadalajara Chivas a 38% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Cruz Azul 45%. Our pick was Cruz Azul to win with 55% confidence at odds of 3.10. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Guadalajara Chivas or Cruz Azul) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.25.

Goals: we expect about 3.0 goals (0.9 for Guadalajara Chivas, 2.0 for Cruz Azul). The chance of three or more goals is 57%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (80% confidence). 3 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Guadalajara Chivas have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-D-W-W-W), scoring 8 and conceding 4. In the table, Guadalajara Chivas are 3rd with 30 points and Cruz Azul are 1st with 32 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Guadalajara Chivas vs Cruz Azul?

Our pre-match prediction is Cruz Azul to win (55% confidence) at odds of 3.10. Win chances: Guadalajara Chivas 38%, draw 17%, Cruz Azul 45%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Guadalajara Chivas vs Cruz Azul?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 80% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 57%).

What time is Guadalajara Chivas vs Cruz Azul?

Guadalajara Chivas vs Cruz Azul (Liga MX) was played on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 02:07 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Guadalajara Chivas vs Cruz Azul?

The double chance 12 (Guadalajara Chivas or Cruz Azul) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.25. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Liga MX table

Guadalajara Chivas3rd30 pts
Cruz Azul1st32 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Cruz Azul 161024 1132
2 Club America 16862 1530
3 Guadalajara Chivas 16862 1130
4 Toluca 16763 1427
5 Atlas 16835 -327
6 Santos Laguna 16817 325
7 Leon 16655 223
8 CF Pachuca 16646 922
9 Club Tijuana 16574 322
10 Monterrey 15636 121
11 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 16565 -221
12 Club Queretaro 15627 -520
13 Puebla 16547 -419
14 Atletico San Luis 16547 -519
15 Tigres UANL 16367 -815
16 Atlante FC 16358 -1014
17 Necaxa 16349 -1113
18 FC Juarez 163211 -2111