Danubio vs Penarol Prediction

Copa Uruguay · Thu 24 Sep 2026
Uruguay flag Uruguay : Copa Uruguay
DanubioDLWWL
1 - 1
Full time · HT 0 - 0
PenarolDWDLD
Kick-offThu 24 Sep, 19:30
Our tip2 @ 2.05 ✗
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence60%

Full-time report

Our tip2 ✗
Double chance12 ✗
BTTSNo ✗
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
DanubioDLWWL
01 Nov 26HClub Nacional1 - 2Primera División Apertura
29 Oct 26AWanderers Durazno3 - 0Copa Uruguay
04 Oct 26HCerro Largo2 - 1Primera División Apertura
27 Sep 26ADefensor Sporting0 - 1Primera División Apertura
24 Sep 26HPenarol1 - 1Copa Uruguay
PenarolDWDLD
31 Oct 26HWanderers1 - 1Primera División Apertura
27 Oct 26HAtletico Torque0 - 2Copa Uruguay
23 Oct 26AJuventud0 - 0Primera División Apertura
04 Oct 26ARacing Montevideo1 - 0Primera División Apertura
30 Sep 26AAtletico Torque1 - 1Primera División Apertura

Head to head

Danubio 0 · Draws 2 · Penarol 0 (2 meetings)

24 Sep 26Danubio1 - 1PenarolCopa Uruguay
07 Mar 26Penarol1 - 1DanubioPrimera División Apertura

Full head to head: Danubio vs Penarol →

Our prediction

Penarol to win

@ 2.05
Double chance
12  •  Danubio or Penarol
@ 1.36
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.70
Confidence
60%

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
85%
Over 2.5: 58%Under 2.5: 42%
Expected goals
1.50Danubio
3.00Total
1.50Penarol

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 12% @ 5.50 ✓ Final score
0 – 1 Penarol win 11% @ 6.00 Our pick
0 – 0 Draw 10% @ 6.50
1 – 0 Danubio win 9% @ 7.50
1 – 2 Penarol win 8% @ 8.50

Final score: 1 – 1 – in our list ✓. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Danubio28%
Draw19%
Penarol53%

Odds (1X2)

13.50
X2.80
22.05

Danubio vs Penarol preview and result

Danubio and Penarol met in the Copa Uruguay on Thursday 24 September 2026 at 19:30 (Nigerian time). The match finished 1 - 1, 0 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Danubio a 28% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Penarol 53%. Our pick was Penarol to win with 60% confidence at odds of 2.05. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Danubio or Penarol) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.36.

Goals: we expect about 3.0 goals (1.5 for Danubio, 1.5 for Penarol). The chance of three or more goals is 58%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (85% confidence). 2 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Danubio have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-L-W-W-L), scoring 7 and conceding 5. Penarol have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (D-W-D-L-D), scoring 3 and conceding 4. In their last 2 meetings, Danubio won 0, Penarol won 0 and 2 ended level.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Danubio vs Penarol?

Our pre-match prediction is Penarol to win (60% confidence) at odds of 2.05. Win chances: Danubio 28%, draw 19%, Penarol 53%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Danubio vs Penarol?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 85% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 58%).

What time is Danubio vs Penarol?

Danubio vs Penarol (Copa Uruguay) was played on Thursday 24 September 2026 at 19:30 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Danubio vs Penarol?

The double chance 12 (Danubio or Penarol) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.36. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.