Danubio vs Progreso Prediction

Primera División Apertura · Sat 28 Feb 2026
Uruguay flag Uruguay : Primera División Apertura
Danubio
21:00
⏳ Result pending · Sat 28 Feb
Progreso
Kick-offSat 28 Feb, 21:00
Our tip1 @ 1.98
GoalsUnder 2.5
Confidence55%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away

Head to head

Full head to head: Danubio vs Progreso →

Our prediction

Danubio to win

@ 1.98
Double chance
12  •  Danubio or Progreso
@ 1.25
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.77
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips in Primera División Aperturalast 30 days
14/3244%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Confidence
80%
Over 2.5: 37%Under 2.5: 63%
Expected goals
2.17Danubio
2.17Total
0.00Progreso

Possible correct scores

1 – 0 Danubio win 12% @ 5.50 Our pick
1 – 1 Draw 12% @ 5.50
2 – 1 Danubio win 9% @ 7.00
2 – 0 Danubio win 8% @ 7.50
0 – 0 Draw 8% @ 7.50

Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Danubio47%
Draw18%
Progreso35%

Odds (1X2)

11.98
X3.20
23.70

Danubio vs Progreso preview

Danubio host Progreso in the Primera División Apertura (Uruguay) on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 21:00 Nigerian time. Here is our prediction, the odds, both teams' recent form and their head-to-head record.

Our model gives Danubio a 47% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Progreso 35%. That makes our pick Danubio to win with 55% confidence at odds of 1.98. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Danubio or Progreso) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.25.

Goals: we expect about 2.2 goals (2.2 for Danubio, 0.0 for Progreso). The chance of three or more goals is 37%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (80% confidence).

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Danubio vs Progreso?

Our prediction is Danubio to win (55% confidence) at odds of 1.98. Win chances: Danubio 47%, draw 18%, Progreso 35%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Danubio vs Progreso?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 80% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 37%).

What time is Danubio vs Progreso?

Danubio vs Progreso (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 21:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Danubio vs Progreso?

The double chance 12 (Danubio or Progreso) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.25. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.