Defensor Sporting vs Penarol Prediction

Primera División Apertura · Sun 24 May 2026
Uruguay flag Uruguay : Primera División Apertura
0 - 2
Full time · HT 0 - 0
Penarol
Kick-offSun 24 May, 22:30
Our tip2 @ 2.25 ✓
GoalsUnder 2.5
Confidence60%

Full-time report

Our tip2 ✓
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSNo ✓
Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away

Head to head

Full head to head: Defensor Sporting vs Penarol →

Our prediction

Penarol to win

@ 2.25
Double chance
12  •  Defensor Sporting or Penarol
@ 1.28
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.77
Confidence
60%

Our record

Our tips in Primera División Aperturalast 30 days
13/3043%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Confidence
80%
Over 2.5: 37%Under 2.5: 63%
Expected goals
0.82Defensor Sporting
2.16Total
1.34Penarol

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 12% @ 5.25
0 – 1 Penarol win 11% @ 5.75 Our pick
1 – 0 Defensor Sporting win 9% @ 7.00
0 – 0 Draw 9% @ 7.50
1 – 2 Penarol win 9% @ 7.50

Final score: 0 – 2 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Defensor Sporting30%
Draw18%
Penarol52%

Odds (1X2)

13.10
X3.10
22.25

Defensor Sporting vs Penarol preview and result

Defensor Sporting and Penarol met in the Primera División Apertura on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 22:30 (Nigerian time). The match finished 0 - 2, 0 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Defensor Sporting a 30% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Penarol 52%. Our pick was Penarol to win with 60% confidence at odds of 2.25. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Defensor Sporting or Penarol) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.28.

Goals: we expect about 2.2 goals (0.8 for Defensor Sporting, 1.3 for Penarol). The chance of three or more goals is 37%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (80% confidence). 2 goals were scored.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Defensor Sporting vs Penarol?

Our pre-match prediction is Penarol to win (60% confidence) at odds of 2.25. Win chances: Defensor Sporting 30%, draw 18%, Penarol 52%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Defensor Sporting vs Penarol?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 80% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 37%).

What time is Defensor Sporting vs Penarol?

Defensor Sporting vs Penarol (Primera División Apertura) was played on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 22:30 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Defensor Sporting vs Penarol?

The double chance 12 (Defensor Sporting or Penarol) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.28. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.