Deportivo Maldonado vs Progreso Prediction

Primera División Apertura · Sat 14 Feb 2026
Uruguay flag Uruguay : Primera División Apertura
21:00
⏳ Result pending · Sat 14 Feb
Progreso
Kick-offSat 14 Feb, 21:00
Our tip2 @ 2.80
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away

Head to head

Full head to head: Deportivo Maldonado vs Progreso →

Our prediction

Progreso to win

@ 2.80
Double chance
12  •  Deportivo Maldonado or Progreso
@ 1.30
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.80
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips in Primera División Aperturalast 30 days
14/3244%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
95%
Over 2.5: 83%Under 2.5: 17%
Expected goals
4.50Deportivo Maldonado
4.50Total
0.00Progreso

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 12% @ 5.25
1 – 0 Deportivo Maldonado win 10% @ 6.25
0 – 1 Progreso win 10% @ 6.50
0 – 0 Draw 9% @ 7.00
2 – 1 Deportivo Maldonado win 8% @ 8.00
0 – 3 Progreso win 2% @ 26.00 Our pick

Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Deportivo Maldonado39%
Draw19%
Progreso42%

Odds (1X2)

12.52
X2.98
22.80

Deportivo Maldonado vs Progreso preview

Deportivo Maldonado host Progreso in the Primera División Apertura (Uruguay) on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 21:00 Nigerian time. Here is our prediction, the odds, both teams' recent form and their head-to-head record.

Our model gives Deportivo Maldonado a 39% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Progreso 42%. That makes our pick Progreso to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.80. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Deportivo Maldonado or Progreso) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.30.

Goals: we expect about 4.5 goals (4.5 for Deportivo Maldonado, 0.0 for Progreso). The chance of three or more goals is 83%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (95% confidence).

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Deportivo Maldonado vs Progreso?

Our prediction is Progreso to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.80. Win chances: Deportivo Maldonado 39%, draw 19%, Progreso 42%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Deportivo Maldonado vs Progreso?

We expect about 4.5 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 95% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 83%).

What time is Deportivo Maldonado vs Progreso?

Deportivo Maldonado vs Progreso (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 21:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Deportivo Maldonado vs Progreso?

The double chance 12 (Deportivo Maldonado or Progreso) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.30. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.