Liverpool Montevideo vs Defensor Sporting Prediction

Primera División Apertura · Sat 14 Feb 2026
Uruguay flag Uruguay : Primera División Apertura
1 - 2
Full time · HT 1 - 1
Defensor SportingLLLDW
Kick-offSat 14 Feb, 01:30
Our tip1 @ 2.25 ✗
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✗
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSNo ✗
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Liverpool Montevideo

No matches found.

Defensor SportingLLLDW
01 Nov 26AProgreso2 - 0Primera División Apertura
23 Oct 26HRacing Montevideo3 - 3Primera División Apertura
17 Oct 26ABoston River0 - 1Primera División Apertura
10 Oct 26HCerro2 - 3Primera División Apertura
03 Oct 26AAlbion FC2 - 3Primera División Apertura

Head to head

Full head to head: Liverpool Montevideo vs Defensor Sporting →

Our prediction

Liverpool Montevideo to win

@ 2.25
Double chance
12  •  Liverpool Montevideo or Defensor Sporting
@ 1.30
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.80
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on Defensor Sportinglast 20 tipped matches
6/2030%
Our tips in Primera División Aperturalast 30 days
14/3244%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 46%Under 2.5: 54%
Expected goals
1.68Liverpool Montevideo
2.50Total
0.82Defensor Sporting

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 12% @ 5.25
1 – 0 Liverpool Montevideo win 11% @ 6.00
0 – 0 Draw 9% @ 7.00
2 – 1 Liverpool Montevideo win 8% @ 7.50
0 – 1 Defensor Sporting win 8% @ 7.50
3 – 0 Liverpool Montevideo win 3% @ 19.00 Our pick

Final score: 1 – 2 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Liverpool Montevideo48%
Draw19%
Defensor Sporting33%

Odds (1X2)

12.25
X3.00
23.20

Liverpool Montevideo vs Defensor Sporting preview and result

Liverpool Montevideo and Defensor Sporting met in the Primera División Apertura on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 01:30 (Nigerian time). The match finished 1 - 2, 1 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives Liverpool Montevideo a 48% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Defensor Sporting 33%. Our pick was Liverpool Montevideo to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.25. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Liverpool Montevideo or Defensor Sporting) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.30.

Goals: we expect about 2.5 goals (1.7 for Liverpool Montevideo, 0.8 for Defensor Sporting). The chance of three or more goals is 46%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence). 3 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Defensor Sporting have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-L-D-W), scoring 9 and conceding 10.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Liverpool Montevideo vs Defensor Sporting?

Our pre-match prediction is Liverpool Montevideo to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.25. Win chances: Liverpool Montevideo 48%, draw 19%, Defensor Sporting 33%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Liverpool Montevideo vs Defensor Sporting?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 46%).

What time is Liverpool Montevideo vs Defensor Sporting?

Liverpool Montevideo vs Defensor Sporting (Primera División Apertura) was played on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 01:30 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Liverpool Montevideo vs Defensor Sporting?

The double chance 12 (Liverpool Montevideo or Defensor Sporting) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.30. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.