Derby vs Stoke City Prediction

Derby vs Stoke City preview

Derby host Stoke City in the Championship (England) on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 Nigerian time. Here is our prediction, the odds, both teams' recent form and their head-to-head record.

Our model gives Derby a 34% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Stoke City 49%. That makes our pick Stoke City to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.30. For a safer option, the double chance X2 (Draw or Stoke City) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.40.

Goals: we expect about 3.1 goals (1.0 for Derby, 2.1 for Stoke City). The chance of three or more goals is 59%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (85% confidence).

Form and head to head

Derby have 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-D-L-L), scoring 3 and conceding 12. Stoke City have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (W-W-L-W-W), scoring 10 and conceding 6. In the table, Derby are 23rd with 7 points and Stoke City are 4th with 26 points.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Derby vs Stoke City?

Our prediction is Stoke City to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.30. Win chances: Derby 34%, draw 17%, Stoke City 49%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Derby vs Stoke City?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 85% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 59%).

What time is Derby vs Stoke City?

Derby vs Stoke City (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Derby vs Stoke City?

The double chance X2 (Draw or Stoke City) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.40. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.