England : Championship
Recent form
DerbyLLDLL
SwanseaLLWLLHead to head
Derby 5 · Draws 3 · Swansea 5 (13 meetings, last 10 below)
Our prediction
Swansea to win
@ 2.96Our record
Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.
Who will win?
Voting closed at kick-off.
Goals outlook
Possible correct scores
Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.
Win probability
Odds (1X2)
Derby vs Swansea preview
Derby host Swansea in the Championship (England) on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 16:00 Nigerian time. Here is our prediction, the odds, both teams' recent form and their head-to-head record.
Our model gives Derby a 39% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Swansea 42%. That makes our pick Swansea to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.96. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Derby or Swansea) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.30.
Goals: we expect about 2.6 goals (1.2 for Derby, 1.3 for Swansea). The chance of three or more goals is 47%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence).
Form and head to head
Derby have 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-D-L-L), scoring 3 and conceding 14. Swansea have 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-W-L-L), scoring 6 and conceding 11. In their last 10 meetings, Derby won 5, Swansea won 5 and 3 ended level. In the table, Derby are 23rd with 10 points and Swansea are 6th with 26 points.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Derby vs Swansea?
Our prediction is Swansea to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.96. Win chances: Derby 39%, draw 19%, Swansea 42%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Derby vs Swansea?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 47%).
What time is Derby vs Swansea?
Derby vs Swansea (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 16:00 Nigerian time (WAT).
What is a safe bet for Derby vs Swansea?
The double chance 12 (Derby or Swansea) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.30. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.
Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Birmingham |
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 29 |
| 2 |  Middlesbrough |
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 29 |
| 3 |  Stoke City |
15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 29 |
| 4 |  Wolves |
15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 28 |
| 5 |  West Brom |
15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 28 |
| 6 |  Swansea |
15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 26 |
| 7 |  Southampton |
15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 24 |
| 8 |  QPR |
15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 24 |
| 9 |  West Ham |
15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 23 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd |
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 22 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth |
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 22 |
| 12 |  Norwich |
15 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 21 |
| 13 |  Blackburn |
15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | -1 | 21 |
| 14 |  Cardiff |
15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 18 |
| 15 |  Wrexham |
15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | -2 | 18 |
| 16 |  Millwall |
15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 18 |
| 17 |  Bristol City |
15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | -8 | 18 |
| 18 |  Bolton |
15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | -9 | 17 |
| 19 |  Charlton |
15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | -10 | 17 |
| 20 |  Watford |
15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -10 | 15 |
| 21 |  Lincoln |
15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -11 | 15 |
| 22 |  Burnley |
15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | -9 | 10 |
| 23 |  Derby |
15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -16 | 10 |
| 24 |  Preston |
15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | -17 | 8 |
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