Derry City vs Dundalk Prediction

Premier Division · Fri 23 Oct 2026
Ireland flag Ireland : Premier Division
Derry City
2 - 1
Full time · HT 1 - 0
DundalkLLDLW
Kick-offFri 23 Oct, 19:45
Our tip1 @ 1.83 ✓
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence70%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✓
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSYes ✓
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✓

Goals & cards

James Clarke⚽12'
Darragh Burns43'
53'Keith Buckley
59'Trevor Clarke
Michael DuffyAssist: Darragh Burns⚽71'
79'⚽shane tracey
Ellis Chapman89'

Match stats

Derry CityDundalk
53%Possession47%
1.76Expected goals (xG)0.82
16Shots12
8Shots on target5
2Corners5
11Fouls13
5Offsides0
2Yellow cards2
3Saves5
Line-ups
Derry City3-4-3
  1. 1B. MaherG
  2. 23C. DummiganD
  3. 4J. StottD
  4. 3Patrick McCleanD
  5. 12D. BurnsM
  6. 8A. O'ReillyM
  7. 14E. ChapmanM
  8. 19B. FlemingM
  9. 15J. ClarkeF
  10. 17N. TwiskF
  11. 7M. DuffyF

Coach: Mark Connolly

Dundalk4-2-3-1
  1. 1E. MinogueG
  2. 3B. BurnsD
  3. 44T. GrivostiD
  4. 16E. VasseninD
  5. 22T. WilsonD
  6. 18K. BuckleyM
  7. 6A. DervinM
  8. 27D. McDaidM
  9. 7D. HorganM
  10. 15T. ClarkeM
  11. 11R. TeahanF

Coach: C. Kilduff

Referee: M. Lynch · Venue: The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium, Derry

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Derry City

No matches found.

DundalkLLDLW
30 Oct 26HShamrock Rovers3 - 1Premier Division
23 Oct 26ADerry City1 - 2Premier Division
17 Oct 26ASligo Rovers1 - 1Premier Division
02 Oct 26HBohemians1 - 2Premier Division
18 Sep 26HShelbourne2 - 3Premier Division

Head to head

Full head to head: Derry City vs Dundalk →

Our prediction

Derry City to win

@ 1.83
Double chance
12  •  Derry City or Dundalk
@ 1.25
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.55
Confidence
70%

Our record

Our tips on Dundalklast 20 tipped matches
8/2040%
Our tips in Premier Divisionlast 30 days
7/1937%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
80%
Over 2.5: 55%Under 2.5: 45%
Expected goals
1.45Derry City
2.90Total
1.45Dundalk

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 9% @ 7.00
2 – 1 Derry City win 8% @ 8.00 Our pick ✓ Final score
1 – 0 Derry City win 7% @ 9.00
2 – 0 Derry City win 7% @ 10.00
2 – 2 Draw 6% @ 11.00

Final score: 2 – 1 – in our list ✓. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Derry City61%
Draw18%
Dundalk21%

Odds (1X2)

11.83
X3.60
23.80

Derry City vs Dundalk preview and result

Derry City and Dundalk met in the Premier Division on Friday 23 October 2026 at 19:45 (Nigerian time). The match finished 2 - 1, 1 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Derry City a 61% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Dundalk 21%. Our pick was Derry City to win with 70% confidence at odds of 1.83. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Derry City or Dundalk) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.25.

Goals: we expect about 2.9 goals (1.5 for Derry City, 1.5 for Dundalk). The chance of three or more goals is 55%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (80% confidence). 3 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Dundalk have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-D-L-W), scoring 8 and conceding 9.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Derry City vs Dundalk?

Our pre-match prediction is Derry City to win (70% confidence) at odds of 1.83. Win chances: Derry City 61%, draw 18%, Dundalk 21%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Derry City vs Dundalk?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 80% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 55%).

What time is Derry City vs Dundalk?

Derry City vs Dundalk (Premier Division) was played on Friday 23 October 2026 at 19:45 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Derry City vs Dundalk?

The double chance 12 (Derry City or Dundalk) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.25. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.