Durango vs Tapatío Prediction

Liga De Expansión MX · Sun 18 Oct 2026
Mexico flag Mexico : Liga De Expansión MX
DurangoWDWWW
5 - 0
Full time · HT 2 - 0
TapatíoLWLLD
Kick-offSun 18 Oct, 04:00
Our tip1 ✓
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✓
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSNo ✓
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
DurangoWDWWW
06 Nov 26HLeones Negros UDG1 - 0Liga De Expansión MX
01 Nov 26HMonarcas3 - 1Liga De Expansión MX
18 Oct 26HTapatío5 - 0Liga De Expansión MX
11 Oct 26ACDS Tampico Madero0 - 0Liga De Expansión MX
04 Oct 26HMineros de Zacatecas4 - 2Liga De Expansión MX
TapatíoLWLLD
01 Nov 26APiratas1 - 1Liga De Expansión MX
25 Oct 26HMonarcas1 - 2Liga De Expansión MX
18 Oct 26ADurango0 - 5Liga De Expansión MX
13 Oct 26HTepatitlán4 - 1Liga De Expansión MX
09 Oct 26HCA La Paz2 - 4Liga De Expansión MX

Head to head

Durango 1 · Draws 0 · Tapatío 0 (1 meetings)

18 Oct 26Durango5 - 0TapatíoLiga De Expansión MX

Full head to head: Durango vs Tapatío →

Our prediction

Durango to win

Double chance
12  •  Durango or Tapatío
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on Durangolast 14 tipped matches
4/1429%
Our tips on Tapatíolast 15 tipped matches
8/1553%
Our tips in Liga De Expansión MXlast 30 days
11/3037%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 51%Under 2.5: 49%
Expected goals
1.06Durango
2.71Total
1.65Tapatío

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 12%
0 – 1 Tapatío win 11%
1 – 2 Tapatío win 10%
0 – 2 Tapatío win 9%
1 – 0 Durango win 7% Our pick

Final score: 5 – 0 – not in our top 5. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Durango45%
Draw11%
Tapatío44%

Durango vs Tapatío preview and result

Durango and Tapatío met in the Liga De Expansión MX on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 04:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 5 - 0, 2 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Durango a 45% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Tapatío 44%. Our pick was Durango to win with 55% confidence. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Durango or Tapatío) covers two of the three results.

Goals: we expect about 2.7 goals (1.1 for Durango, 1.7 for Tapatío). The chance of three or more goals is 51%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence). 5 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Durango have 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-D-W-W-W), scoring 13 and conceding 3. Tapatío have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-W-L-L-D), scoring 8 and conceding 13. In their last 1 meeting, Durango won 1, Tapatío won 0 and 0 ended level.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Durango vs Tapatío?

Our pre-match prediction is Durango to win (55% confidence). Win chances: Durango 45%, draw 11%, Tapatío 44%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Durango vs Tapatío?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 51%).

What time is Durango vs Tapatío?

Durango vs Tapatío (Liga De Expansión MX) was played on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 04:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Durango vs Tapatío?

The double chance 12 (Durango or Tapatío) covers two outcomes. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.