Leones Negros UDG vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca Prediction

Liga De Expansión MX · Sun 18 Oct 2026
Mexico flag Mexico : Liga De Expansión MX
Leones Negros UDGWWLWL
1 - 2
Full time · HT 1 - 1
Alebrijes de OaxacaLWWWW
Kick-offSun 18 Oct, 19:00
Our tip1 @ 1.30 ✗
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence80%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✗
BTTSYes ✓
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Leones Negros UDGWWLWL
13 Nov 26AMonarcas0 - 1Liga de Expansión MX
08 Nov 26HDurango2 - 1Liga de Expansión MX
06 Nov 26ADurango0 - 1Liga de Expansión MX
01 Nov 26HTepatitlán3 - 1Liga de Expansión MX
25 Oct 26AMineros de Zacatecas2 - 0Liga de Expansión MX
Alebrijes de OaxacaLWWWW
30 Oct 26HMineros de Zacatecas1 - 0Liga de Expansión MX
23 Oct 26HCruz Azul Hidalgo2 - 1Liga de Expansión MX
18 Oct 26ALeones Negros UDG2 - 1Liga de Expansión MX
09 Oct 26HCorrecaminos Uat2 - 1Liga de Expansión MX
04 Oct 26APiratas0 - 4Liga de Expansión MX

Head to head

Leones Negros UDG 5 · Draws 13 · Alebrijes de Oaxaca 5 (23 meetings, last 10 below)

18 Oct 26Leones Negros UDG1 - 2Alebrijes de OaxacaLiga de Expansión MX
28 Mar 26Alebrijes de Oaxaca1 - 1Leones Negros UDGLiga de Expansión MX
18 Oct 25Leones Negros UDG0 - 1Alebrijes de OaxacaLiga de Expansión MX
16 Mar 25Leones Negros UDG3 - 2Alebrijes de OaxacaLiga de Expansión MX
29 Sep 24Alebrijes de Oaxaca2 - 2Leones Negros UDGLiga de Expansión MX
15 Feb 24Alebrijes de Oaxaca0 - 3Leones Negros UDGLiga de Expansión MX
04 Aug 23Leones Negros UDG5 - 0Alebrijes de OaxacaLiga de Expansión MX
15 Mar 23Alebrijes de Oaxaca2 - 2Leones Negros UDGLiga de Expansión MX
26 Jun 22Leones Negros UDG0 - 0Alebrijes de OaxacaLiga de Expansión MX
20 Jan 22Alebrijes de Oaxaca1 - 1Leones Negros UDGLiga de Expansión MX

Full head to head: Leones Negros UDG vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca →

Our prediction

Leones Negros UDG to win

@ 1.30
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.70
Confidence
80%

Our record

Our tips on Leones Negros UDGlast 20 tipped matches
10/2050%
Our tips on Alebrijes de Oaxacalast 20 tipped matches
11/2055%
Our tips in Liga De Expansión MXlast 30 days
15/3444%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
85%
Over 2.5: 63%Under 2.5: 37%
Expected goals
2.37Leones Negros UDG
3.25Total
0.88Alebrijes de Oaxaca

Possible correct scores

2 – 0 Leones Negros UDG win 9% @ 7.00
2 – 1 Leones Negros UDG win 8% @ 8.00 Our pick
1 – 0 Leones Negros UDG win 8% @ 8.50
3 – 0 Leones Negros UDG win 8% @ 8.50
3 – 1 Leones Negros UDG win 7% @ 9.50

Final score: 1 – 2 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Leones Negros UDG74%
Draw20%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca6%

Odds (1X2)

11.30
X4.80
27.00

Leones Negros UDG vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca preview and result

Leones Negros UDG and Alebrijes de Oaxaca met in the Liga De Expansión MX on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 19:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 1 - 2, 1 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives Leones Negros UDG a 74% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Alebrijes de Oaxaca 6%. Our pick was Leones Negros UDG to win with 80% confidence at odds of 1.30. The pick lost this time ✗.

Goals: we expect about 3.3 goals (2.4 for Leones Negros UDG, 0.9 for Alebrijes de Oaxaca). The chance of three or more goals is 63%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (85% confidence). 3 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Leones Negros UDG have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-W-L-W-L), scoring 7 and conceding 4. Alebrijes de Oaxaca have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (L-W-W-W-W), scoring 7 and conceding 7. In their last 10 meetings, Leones Negros UDG won 5, Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 5 and 13 ended level.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Leones Negros UDG vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?

Our pre-match prediction is Leones Negros UDG to win (80% confidence) at odds of 1.30. Win chances: Leones Negros UDG 74%, draw 20%, Alebrijes de Oaxaca 6%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Leones Negros UDG vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 85% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 63%).

What time is Leones Negros UDG vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?

Leones Negros UDG vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca (Liga De Expansión MX) was played on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 19:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.